249
FXUS64 KLUB 041736
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1136 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
- A LOW CHANCE FOR FREEZING FOG EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE
FRIDAY MORNING.
- MILD AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SNOW TO NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING IS NOW
EXITING TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT IN
BEHIND THE TROUGH ON ZONAL FLOW WHILE LOW LEVELS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
DRY OUT LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL
WINDS VEER TOWARD SOUTHWEST. NO BIG CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM
OTHER THAN TO INSERT A PATCHY FREEZING FOG MENTION IN THE FAR
NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE CALM WINDS AND
RESIDUAL SURFACE MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT NEAR SUNRISE FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE QUIET AS THE
UPPER PATTERN WILL GENERALLY BE PRETTY STAGNANT WITH A BROAD TROUGH
REMAINING OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS. AN INCREASE IN HEIGHTS AND
THICKNESSES EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL SEE TEMPERATURES REVERT TO NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY WITH THE WARM PERIODS COMING ON SATURDAY
AND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHEN WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
DOMINANT AND COOLER ON SUNDAY BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT. NBM
HANDLES WELL WITH NO CHANGES MADE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
THE PERIOD ARE BASICALLY ZERO WITH THE DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AND LACK OF ANY MEANINGFUL LIFT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
STRATUS LINGERING BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SNOW TO
KPVW AND KCDS OVERNIGHT WILL BE A BIT OF A PAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH
BREAKS IN IFR/MVFR CEILINGS THAT MIGHT FILL BACK IN ON OCCASION. BY
SUNSET VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THAT
WAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF A REDUCTION IN VISIBILITY DUE TO
FREEZING FOG AT KCDS AROUND SUNRISE FRIDAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...07
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