154
FXUS64 KLUB 042313
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
513 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 510 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
- A LOW CHANCE FOR FREEZING FOG EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PANHANDLE
FRIDAY MORNING.
- MILD AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SNOW TO NORTHERN
PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING IS NOW
EXITING TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA. DRIER AIR WILL ADVECT IN
BEHIND THE TROUGH ON ZONAL FLOW WHILE LOW LEVELS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO
DRY OUT LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AS SURFACE AND LOW LEVEL
WINDS VEER TOWARD SOUTHWEST. NO BIG CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM
OTHER THAN TO INSERT A PATCHY FREEZING FOG MENTION IN THE FAR
NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF THE FORECAST AREA WHILE CALM WINDS AND
RESIDUAL SURFACE MOISTURE WILL BE PRESENT NEAR SUNRISE FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1134 AM CST THU DEC 4 2025
THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WILL BE QUIET AS THE
UPPER PATTERN WILL GENERALLY BE PRETTY STAGNANT WITH A BROAD TROUGH
REMAINING OVER MUCH OF THE CONUS. AN INCREASE IN HEIGHTS AND
THICKNESSES EARLY IN THE PERIOD WILL SEE TEMPERATURES REVERT TO NEAR
TO ABOVE NORMAL ON FRIDAY WITH THE WARM PERIODS COMING ON SATURDAY
AND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WHEN WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
DOMINANT AND COOLER ON SUNDAY BEHIND THE NEXT COLD FRONT. NBM
HANDLES WELL WITH NO CHANGES MADE. PRECIPITATION CHANCES THROUGH
THE PERIOD ARE BASICALLY ZERO WITH THE DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AND LACK OF ANY MEANINGFUL LIFT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 510 PM CST THU DEC 4 2025
LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN IN VICINITY OF ALL TAF SITES FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS AS AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.
WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH RECENT SNOWFALL IN THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE,
SOME VISBY RESTRICTIONS MAY DEVELOP AROUND THE KCDS TERMINAL.
HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THIS ACTIVITY MAKING IT INTO KCDS
WITH MOST FOG MOST LIKELY REMAINING NORTH OF THE TAF SITE WHERE A
DEEPER SNOWPACK EXISTS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...01
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