252
FXUS64 KLUB 011730
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1130 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
- WARM AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST AROUND 15-20
MPH.
- DRY AND WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY WILL BE DOMINATED BY BREEZY CONDITIONS. A LEE
SURFACE LOW WILL PUSH SOUTHWARD FROM COLORADO INTO NORTHEAST NEW
MEXICO BY LATE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FA
INTO NORTH TEXAS BY MIDNIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP SURFACE WINDS OUT OF
THE WEST AROUND 15 TO 25 MPH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL NOT BE AS DRY AS WOULD BE EXPECTED WITH A
WESTERLY SURFACE WIND. LOWERING OF DEW POINTS DUE TO DOWNSLOPING
WILL BE SLIGHTLY OFFSET BY DEW POINTS ALREADY BEING IN THE MID THE
UPPER 30S ACROSS NEW MEXICO AND THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S ACROSS
ARIZONA. WHILE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS
THE CAPROCK FRIDAY, THE HIGHER DEW POINTS WILL HELP KEEP FIRE DANGER
FROM REACHING CRITICAL. SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP TO KEEP OVERNIGHT
LOWS WARM, LOW 40S TO LOW 50S, AND FRIDAY'S HIGHS IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FA FRIDAY EVENING BEHIND A
PASSING UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND WILL HELP COOL SATURDAY'S HIGHS
INTO THE 60S AREA WIDE. MUCH OF THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
BENIGN THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK. UPPER RIDGING WILL MOVE OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY BEFORE GIVING WAY TO QUASI-ZONAL
TO SLIGHTLY SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW LATE SUNDAY INTO MID
WEEK. SURFACE LEE TROUGHING WILL HELP KEEP SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST DURING THIS PERIOD AS WELL WITH DAILY HIGHS
AVERAGING IN THE 60S AND 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL AVERAGE IN THE 90S
AND 40S. MODELS SHOW AN UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVING OVER BAJA BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THERE IS A WIDE SPREAD IN PATTERN EVOLUTION
BEYOND WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF KEEPS THE SHORTWAVE ON A SOUTHERN
TRAJECTORY, MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO INTO CENTRAL TEXAS BY
EARLY THURSDAY. THE GFS DEVELOPS THE TROUGH INTO A CLOSED LOW AND
MOVES IT NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS EARLY THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST THU JAN 1 2026
WESTERLY WINDS WILL SOON RAMP UP AT KLBB AND KPVW. CAN EXPECT WIND
SPEEDS UP TO 20 KNOTS AND GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE AT BOTH TAF
SIGHTS. THESE BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND
THROUGH TOMORROW AFTERNOON. LLWS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST AFTER SUNSET
AT KLBB AND KPVW, HOWEVER WILL ONLY PERSIST THROUGH THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS FOR KLBB. LLWS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AROUND
MIDNIGHT AT KPVW. LIGHT TO SLIGHTLY BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS ARE
EXPECTED AT KCDS. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...10
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page