140
FXUS64 KLUB 122328
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
528 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
- MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- FROPA WEDNESDAY WILL BRING BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION AND AGAIN FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
PLEASANT AND WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. ON THE
UPPER LEVELS, AN UPPER LOW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE U.S./MEXICO
BORDER THROUGH TODAY BEFORE SKIRTING JUST SOUTH OF THE REGION
TUESDAY. CONCURRENTLY, A REX BLOCK PATTERN WILL SET UP JUST OFF THE
COAST OF CALIFORNIA. ON THE SURFACE, LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AND
SLIGHT HEIGHT INCREASES WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON. ANOTHER CHILLY NIGHT IS EXPECTED
WITH LOWS AROUND OR BELOW FREEZING WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.
THE WARMING TREND CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY. SIMILAR TO MONDAY,
WESTERLY SURFACE FLOW AND SLIGHT HEIGHT INCREASES WILL WARM HIGHS TO
THE UPPER 60S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1122 AM CST MON JAN 12 2026
THE MAIN ACTION IN THE LONG TERM FORECAST ARE TWO COLD FRONTS
PUSHING THROUGH THE REGION. THE FIRST FRONT WILL ARRIVE EARLY
WEDNESDAY. ON THE UPPER LEVELS, THE LOW THAT PASSED SOUTH OF THE CWA
WILL CONTINUE TO EXIT EAST AS AN UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OVER CENTRAL
CONUS AT THE SAME TIME AS A LOW CENTERS OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION
BRINGING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE UPPER TROUGH WILL SWING THE
COLD FRONT SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION BRINGING BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HOWEVER, THE COLD FRONT WILL NOT HAVE
MUCH IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES AS HIGHS WILL REMAIN AROUND OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL. BREEZY WINDS, ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, AND
DRY CONDITIONS WILL BRING POSSIBLE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
WEDNESDAY. AS THE FRONT EXITS THE REGION, WINDS WILL WEAKEN
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND SHIFT TO THE WEST AS A SURFACE TROUGH SWINGS
THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. WESTERLY WINDS AND SLIGHT THICKNESS
INCREASES WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 60S ACROSS THE CWA ON
THURSDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL EXIT TO THE EAST
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK GIVING WAY TO ANOTHER AMPLIFYING TROUGH
THAT WILL PUSH A STRONGER, ALTHOUGH STILL DRY, COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE REGION. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL FOLLOW THE SECONDARY FROPA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 528 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...93
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