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FXUS64 KLUB 131736
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1136 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
- BREEZY AND COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND A DRY COLD
FRONT ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
- OTHERWISE, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL
WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES NEAR ZERO THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
PLEASANT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY
WITH ONLY SOME HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER PRESENT OVER THE REGION AS A
WEAKENING MIDLEVEL LOW SLOWLY DRIFTS EASTWARD OVER CENTRAL TX,
WITH THICKER CIRRUS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE TONIGHT AS FLOW ALOFT TURNS
MORE NORTHERLY. OTHERWISE, A MODEST SURFACE TROUGH CENTERED OVER
THE TX PANHANDLE WILL KEEP WINDS OUT OF THE WEST THE REST OF TODAY
INTO TONIGHT RESULTING IN ABOVE AVERAGE HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON AND
RELATIVELY MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS TONIGHT. BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING, THE CENTRAL TX LOW WILL PHASE WITH DEEPENING LONGWAVE
TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CONUS. THIS EVOLUTION
COMBINED WITH A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS STATES WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION DURING
THE PRE-DAWN HOURS, WITH NORTH WINDS CONSEQUENTLY SET TO
STRENGTHEN BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLY-DAY
COLD FRONT, WEDNESDAY IS SET TO BE BREEZY AND COOLER, THOUGH A
LACK OF A NOTABLY COLD AIRMASS UPSTREAM AND NEUTRAL MIDLEVEL
HEIGHT TENDENCIES WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES STILL REACHING THE
MID TO UPPER 50S ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND, A
REX BLOCK WILL ESTABLISH JUST OFF THE WEST COAST WHICH WILL KEEP THE
UPPER LEVEL PATTERN RATHER STAGNANT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS
THE CENTER OF DEEP MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING REMAINS CONFINED TO
OUR EAST. AS A RESULT, DRY AND STABLE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WEST TX REGION WHICH WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION
CHANCES NEAR ZERO THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. OTHER THAN
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
FRIDAY, HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD WITH
OUR STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER LOOKING UNLIKELY TO END ANYTIME IN THE
NEAR FUTURE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS TAF PERIOD. LIGHT WESTERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FILL IN ACROSS THE REGION FOLLOWING THE FRONT. WIND SPEEDS UP
TO 25 KNOTS AND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...10
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