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FXUS64 KLUB 162336 CCA
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
536 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 508 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
- QUIET WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT.
- COLDER ON SATURDAY WITH SOME FLURRIES POSSIBLE, THEN DRY WITH 2
WEAKER COLD FRONTS THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
THE COLD FRONT IS WELL SOUTH OF THE FA AND HAS LEFT MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND WINDY CONDITIONS IN ITS WAKE. WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO SETTLE OVER THE REGION. WINDS WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME LIGHT
LATE TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH SETTLES OVER THE FA. THIS WOULD
NORMALLY RESULT IN MUCH COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS THAN WHAT IS FORECAST,
BUT STRATUS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AND WILL HELP TO INHIBIT RADIATIONAL COOLING. SOME LIGHT
FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS THE STRATUS
CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTHWARD THANKS TO MOISTENING LOW AND MID LEVELS.
NOTHING MORE IS EXPECTED AS LITTLE TO NO LIFT IS EXPECTED. STRATUS
WILL ALSO HELP KEEP TEMPS ON THE COOL SIDE SATURDAY WITH HIGHS
MAXING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 40S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FA LATE SUNDAY AND
WILL HELP COOL HIGHS BACK INTO THE 40S FOR MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE OUT
OF THE EAST TO NORTHEAST FOR MOST OF MONDAY, AIDING IN KEEPING TEMPS
COOL. SURFACE WINDS WILL VEER TO THE SOUTH BY TUESDAY AS A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS OVER COLORADO. THIS WILL ALLOW HIGHS TO WARM BACK INTO
THE 60S BY WEDNESDAY BEFORE AN UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH PUSHES ANOTHER
FRONT SOUTHWARD LATE WEDNESDAY. MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER WITH THE
UPPER PATTERN BY THIS POINT. THE GFS BREAKS DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE
ACROSS THE WEST COAST WITH UPPER FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. THE ECMWF HOLDS ON THE UPPER RIDGE FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER
DAY. THE COMBINATION OF NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW AND BACK-TO-BACK
COLD FRONTS WILL HELP KEEP HIGHS ON THE THE WARMEST DAYS, WEDNESDAY
AND FRIDAY, IN THE 60S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 508 PM CST FRI JAN 16 2026
NORTHERLY WINDS HAVE MOSTLY WEAKENED FOR THE EVENING AND WILL REMAIN
LIGHT OVERNIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.
HOWEVER, THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR KPVW AND KCDS TO SEE MVFR
CEILINGS AS WELL AS A FEW FLURRIES. ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE OF EITHER
OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT IS LOW WITH DRY LOW-LEVELS. NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS A SECONDARY
FRONTAL PUSH TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...10
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