965
FXUS64 KLUB 261122
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
522 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 519 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- EXTREME COLD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CST.
- DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS OF 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO ARE
POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ALONG WITH FREEZING FOG.
- SLIGHTLY WARMER BUT STILL BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT ALL THE WINTRY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED. THE
BAD NEWS IS WE WILL STILL BE DEALING WITH EXTREMELY COLD
TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS MONDAY MORNING. A SECONDARY UPPER
TROUGH WILL DESCEND FROM THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST OVERNIGHT. ITS
ORIENTATION IS SUCH THAT MORE COLD AIR FROM ALOFT WILL ADVECT INTO
OUR AREA. MOREOVER, STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE (APPROACHING 1046
MB) WILL CENTER DIRECTLY OVER THE CWA. THIS WILL COMBINE TO BRING
EXTREMELY COLD LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.
SURFACE WINDS WILL SWITCH OUT OF THE NORTH OVERNIGHT AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH FORMS. THESE WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT,
HOWEVER WITH AIR TEMPERATURES SO COLD ALREADY, IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH
TO DRIVE WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS -15 TO -20. AN EXTREME COLD WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON CST MONDAY. PATCHY FREEZING FOG IS
ALSO POSSIBLE, MAINLY ON THE CAPROCK AROUND SUNRISE. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY TURN MORE WESTWARD THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS AS THE CENTER
OF THE HIGH MOVES SLIGHTLY FARTHER EAST. TEMPERATURES WILL SOMEWHAT
RECOVER AS A RESULT, HOWEVER REMAIN VERY CHILLY IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOW 30S ALBEIT WITH ABUNDANT AFTERNOON SUNSHINE. QUIET AND CHILLY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EVENING.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1116 PM CST SUN JAN 25 2026
SOMEWHAT MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AND ALONG WITH A
CONTINUED DECAY OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH, WILL LEAD TO
RELATIVELY WARMER TEMPERATURES WITH DAYTIME HIGHS REACHING THE LOW-
TO-MID 40S. A RIDGE WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY THE EDGE OF A TROUGH ON
THURSDAY WILL NOT DO MUCH TO CHANGE TEMPERATURES AND HIGHS WILL
REMAIN QUITE PERSISTENT. WHILE THIS WILL BRING GRADUAL SNOW MELT
THROUGH THE DAY, ANY REMAINING LIQUID WILL REFREEZE ON UNTREATED
ROADWAYS OVERNIGHT WITH CONTINUED LOWS WELL BELOW FREEZING.
NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AND A STRONG SURFACE HIGH WILL RETURN FRIDAY
BRINGING HIGHS BACK INTO THE 30S. THE COLD AIRMASS SHOULD FINALLY
START TO ERODE BY NEXT SUNDAY WITH A WARMING TREND INTO THE
FOLLOWING WEEK. CONDITIONS LOOK TO REMAIN DRY AND POPS CONTINUE TO
REMAIN ABSENT FROM THE LATEST FORECAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
A DECK OF VFR STRATUS WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH MOST OF
THIS MORNING. EARLIER INSTANCES OF LOWER VISIBILITY FROM BR/FZFG
HAVE DISSIPATED AS OF 11Z, BUT THERE IS STILL A NONZERO CHANCE OF
ANOTHER PERIOD OF MVFR OR IFR VIS/CIG ESPECIALLY AT KLBB THROUGH
ABOUT 16Z. OTHERWISE, EXPECT SKIES TO GRADUALLY CLEAR THROUGH THE
REST OF THE DAY WITH VFR PERSISTING THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ021>044.
FREEZING FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ027-
028-033>035-039-040.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...30
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