275
FXUS64 KLUB 262352
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
552 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
- COLD WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED OF 9 DEGREES BELOW ZERO THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
- TEMPERATURES WARMING UP SLIGHTLY, BUT REMAINING BELOW AVERAGE,
TUESDAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
CHILLY IS THE MAIN THEME OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. AS THE SUN RISES
THIS MORNING AND CLOUD COVER DISSIPATES, WE ARE BEGINNING TO SEE A
PRETTY PICTURE OF THE SNOW PACK ACROSS THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO WARM MUCH THIS AFTERNOON, AS NORTHERLY FLOW AT THE
SURFACE AND MID-LEVELS PREVAIL, THANKS TO THE SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE
SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW OVER THE GREAT LAKES. AS A RESULT, THE
ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ANOTHER DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
20S TO AROUND 32 DEGREES. AS WE REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY, WE WILL SEE LITTLE TO NO CHANGE IN THE SNOW PACK, ALTHOUGH
SOME SNOW PACK IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN MELTING SLIGHTLY THANKS TO THE
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE. NONETHELESS, OVERNIGHT WE WILL DROP BACK INTO THE
SINGLE DIGITS WHICH WILL KEEP TRAVEL CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS ONCE
AGAIN. IN FACT, ANY SNOW THAT DOES MELT THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY
REFREEZE OVERNIGHT, CAUSING FOR A GLAZING OF ICE ON ROADWAYS AND
SURFACE. MAKE SURE TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS ON THE ROADWAYS IN THE
MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR TRAVEL. WIND CHILLS WILL BE A
PROBLEM ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH NOT AS SEVERE AS WHAT WE SAW
THIS MORNING, WE EXPECT APPARENT T'S TO RANGE FROM 0 DEGREES TO 9
DEGREES BELOW. THEREFORE, A COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM
9 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 9 AM TUESDAY MORNING. BY EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING, A SECONDARY WAVE WILL ROUND THE BASE OF THE LOW ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST, SWINGING A WEAK FRONT THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE
AFTERNOON. DESPITE THIS, WE WILL WARM BACK INTO THE 30S AND 40S
DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WINDS BACK OUT OF THE NORTH BEHIND THE
FRONT. TEMPERATURES ARE A BIT UNCERTAIN AT THE MOMENT AND WILL
LIKELY DEPEND ON THE EFFECTS FROM THE REMAINING SNOW PACK TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, WHICH COULD LEAD TO TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES COOLER
THAN FORECASTED.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1125 AM CST MON JAN 26 2026
A COOL AND MUCH QUIETER FORECAST IS IN STORE MID WEEK THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. UPPER FLOW WILL BE PREDOMINATELY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND
WILL BE ENHANCED BY TUESDAY'S DEVELOPING UPPER RIDGE. AN UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DEAMPLIFY AS IT MOVES ONSHORE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST BEFORE PHASING WITH THE MAIN UPPER FLOW. THE
SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH MID WEEK BRINGING
ANOTHER COLD FRONT INTO THE REGION BY THURSDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT
WILL BE VERY WEAK IN COMPARISON TO THE PREVIOUS COLD FRONT AND IS
ONLY EXPECTED TO DROP FRIDAY MORNING LOWS BY AN AVERAGE 5 DEGREES
COMPARED TO THURSDAY MORNING'S LOWS. THE EFFECTS OF THE FRONT WILL
BE MORE NOTICEABLE IN REGARDS TO HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BECOME MORE
EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE PLAINS INTO THE MIDWEST. THIS WILL HELP TO
LIMIT HIGHS TO THE MID 30S/MID 40S SATURDAY. THE FORECAST REMAINS
DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 519 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THERE
IS LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP NEAR THE LBB AND PVW
TERMINALS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, BUT THE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE
DENSE OR WIDESPREAD. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON, BRINGING A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT.
TOMERLIN
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST TUESDAY
FOR TXZ021>044.
SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...26
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