385
FXUS64 KLUB 271117
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
517 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
- ABOVE-FREEZING CONDITIONS RETURN TO THE REGION TODAY ALONG WITH
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE.
- TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 40S INTO MID-TO-LATE WEEK WITH
DRY CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
AFTER REACHING THE UPPER 20'S TO LOW 30'S AREA WIDE THIS AFTERNOON,
CLEAR SKIES AND THE REMAINING SNOW PACK WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
FALL ONCE AGAIN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS ACROSS ALL
LOCATIONS. THIS WILL RESULT IN REFREEZING OF ANY SNOW MELT EARLIER
TODAY, INCREASING THE POTENTIAL FOR ICING ON UNTREATED ROADWAYS AND
SURFACES. MAKE SURE TO TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS ON THE ROADWAYS IN THE
MORNING AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR TRAVEL. WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT WILL NOT BE AS EXTREME AS LAST NIGHT, BUT ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO RANGE FROM 0 TO -9 DEGREES AREA WIDE. THEREFORE, A COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM THROUGH 9 AM TUESDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG
IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, HOWEVER, WESTERLY WINDS LIMITING
MOISTURE ADVECTION SHOULD TEMPER THE DENSITY AND COVERAGE OF THE FOG.
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROUNDING THE BASE OF A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IN
THE NORTHEAST WILL SWING A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION EARLY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS FRONT IS NOT EXPECTED TO HAVE MUCH OF AN
IMPACT ON HIGH TEMPERATURES, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO RISE ABOVE
FREEZING GENERALLY NEAR 40 DEGREES DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN LOWERED A FEW DEGREES FROM NBM GUIDANCE AS
REMAINING SNOW PACK IN TANDEM WITH NORTHERLY WINDS MAY KEEP HIGH
TEMPERATURES COOLER.
A SIMILAR STORY TUESDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES AND REMAINING
SNOWPACK ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO LOW TEENS. THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL
REFREEZING OF REMAINING MOISTURE ON ROADS AND THEREFORE POTENTIAL
ICING FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE WEDNESDAY MORNING. CONTINUE TO TAKE
EXTRA PRECAUTIONS AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME ON MORNING COMMUTES.
TOMERLIN
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1119 PM CST MON JAN 26 2026
THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK WILL BE COOL AND QUIETER WITH A
GRADUAL WARM UP. AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN US AND TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OF THE COUNTRY WILL RESULT IN PREVAILING
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. A SHORTWAVE MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC
NW INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BREAK DOWN THE RIDGE AS IT
DEAMPLIFIES AND PHASES INTO THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FLOW. THIS
SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION
DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. HOWEVER, EFFECTS IN TEMPERATURE MAY BE
DELAYED UNTIL THE WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN REINFORCING THE
COLD AIR WITH EAST/NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THIS PREVENTS SOUTHERLY
RETURN FLOW SATURDAY KEEPING HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER
30'S. PRECIPITATION IS CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM.
ANOTHER WARMUP BEGINS SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES
EAST ALLOWING A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY FLOW.
TOMERLIN
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. INITIALLY WESTERLY
WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BY ABOUT
MIDDAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR TXZ021>044.
SHORT TERM...BLT
LONG TERM....BLT
AVIATION...30
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