869
FXUS64 KLUB 291120
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
520 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
- WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH FRIDAY.
- COOLER SATURDAY BEFORE TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 50S AND 60S
FROM SUNDAY INTO MID NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
ELEVATED WINDS COMBINED WITH HIGHER CLOUD COVER WILL MODERATE LOW
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY MORNING MUCH WARMER THAN THEY HAVE BEEN
PREVIOUSLY. HOWEVER, THEY SHOULD STILL FALL NEAR OR JUST BELOW
FREEZING AND AS HAS BEEN THE CASE LATELY, ANY LIQUID ON UNTREATED
ROADWAYS WOULD THEREFORE REFREEZE. AGAIN USE CAUTION FOR THE MORNING
COMMUTE, ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. A SURFACE FRONT WILL
GRADUALLY TRACK ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING WITH WINDS
VEERING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHERLY. THESE WILL PEAK DURING THE
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY UP TO 30 MPH FOR SOME
LOCATIONS. DESPITE THE BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS, RELATIVELY LOW SURFACE
PRESSURE NEAR 1016 MB WILL PREVENT THE COLD AIRMASS TO THE NORTH AND
EAST FROM FILTERING IN AND HIGHS WILL ACTUALLY BE WARMER THAN TODAY,
TOPPING OUT IN THE MID 50S. WINDS WILL DIMINISH INTO THE EVENING
BEHIND THE FRONT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1025 PM CST WED JAN 28 2026
WITH WINDS BECOMING MUCH LIGHTER FRIDAY MORNING AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION, LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL WELL
BELOW FREEZING AND THUS REFREEZING UNTREATED ROADWAYS OVERNIGHT WILL
AGAIN OCCUR. A PLEASANT JANUARY DAY WILL ROUND OUT THE WORK WEEK.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND LINGERING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND HIGHS AGAIN IN THE MID 50S. A STRONG UPPER
LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST US FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
A STRONG ~1047 MB SURFACE HIGH ALLOWING FOR THE INTRUSION OF ANOTHER
COLD AIRMASS INTO THE AREA. HIGHS WILL FALL NEARLY 20 DEGREES
GENERALLY INTO THE 30S AND 40S. THE COLD SNAP WILL ONLY LAST A
SINGLE DAY AS A BROAD RIDGE BUILDING TO THE WEST WILL HELP PUSH OUT
THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD AIRMASS. HIGHS WILL REBOUND EVEN ABOVE
AVERAGE SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, CLIMBING INTO THE 60S FOR
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. A TROUGH WILL APPROACH BY MID-WEEK. WHILE NBM
CONTINUES TO INDICATE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS, CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW,
HOWEVER TEMPERATURES LOOK TO SLIGHTLY COOL WITH NORTHERLY WINDS
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 517 AM CST THU JAN 29 2026
A WIND SHIFT IS EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES AFTER SUNRISE SHIFTING
WINDS FROM THE WEST TO THE NORTH. WIND SPEEDS WILL ALSO BECOME
BREEZY WITH SUSTAINED VALUES AROUND 20KT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF LOW VISBYS EARLY FRIDAY MORNING BUT CHANCES AND CONFIDENCE IS
TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAF AT THE MOMENT.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01
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