954
FXUS64 KLUB 312323
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
523 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
- LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL PERSIST OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH PLAINS AND FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.
- A QUIET AND MUCH WARMER SUNDAY IS EXPECTED, WITH DRY AND
RELATIVELY WARM WEATHER CONTINUING THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
AREAS OF DENSE TO PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS PERSIST OVER AREAS ON
THE CAPROCK AT 11 AM. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW
CLOUDS ARE GRADUALLY CLEARING OUT FROM EAST TO WEST. THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CLEAR OUT FROM MOST OF THE REGION
AROUND NOON TODAY. CURRENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW WINDS ARE OUT
OF THE SOUTHEAST AS THE SURFACE HIGH SITS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE
REGION. THESE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST BY THIS
EVENING AS THE SURFACE HIGH CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE AWAY FROM THE
CWA. NOTHING OF NOTE ON THE UPPER LEVELS. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
PREVAIL ALOFT AS UPPER RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST.
EASTERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY SURFACE FLOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WILL
KEEP HIGHS IN THE 30S FOR MUCH OF THE REGION, ALTHOUGH SOME AREAS
OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE COULD WARM UP TO LOWER
40S. TONIGHT WILL BE QUIET WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. LIGHT
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES COLD WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. A MUCH WARMER
SUNDAY IS EXPECTED COMPARED TO TODAY. SLIGHT HEIGHT AND THICKNESS
INCREASES DUE TO THE UPPER RIDGING TO THE WEST AS WELL AS WEST TO
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE FLOW, ALTHOUGH LIGHT, WILL AID IN WARMING
TEMPERATURES TO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE REGION.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1132 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
BY MONDAY, THE UPPER AIR PATTERN WILL DEAMPLIFY AS DEEP TROUGHING
EXITS OVER THE ATLANTIC AND THE JET STREAM REMAINS POSITIONED OVER
THE PACNW REGION WITH RELATIVELY WEAK FLOW ALOFT SET TO ESTABLISH
OVER THE SW CONUS. DURING THE MIDWEEK PERIOD, A REX BLOCK IS
STILL PROGGED TO POSITION OVER CA AND THE BAJA PENINSULA AS
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING DEEPENS ONCE AGAIN OVER THE EASTERN HALF
OF THE CONTINENT, WITH GUIDANCE THEN IN POOR AGREEMENT REGARDING
HOW THE BLOCK AND CORRESPONDING UPSTREAM PATTERN RESOLVES HEADING
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. IN GENERAL, THIS PATTERN WILL FAVOR A
CONTINUATION OF DRY AND RELATIVELY WARM WEATHER ACROSS OUR REGION
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. MONDAY WILL BE QUITE WARM WITH HIGHS
ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL, FOLLOWED BY A BRIEF AND
MODEST COOLDOWN BEHIND A FEW WEAK COLD FRONTS TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN RETURN FOR THE LATE WEEK
PERIOD, WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES REMAINING NEAR ZERO THROUGH
THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 523 PM CST SAT JAN 31 2026
VFR WITH LIGHT WINDS. AN AREA OF IFR STRATUS ABOUT 30W-NW OF PVW
SHOULD REMAIN OUTSIDE OF THE TERMINAL OVERNIGHT BEFORE DISSIPATING
BY SUNDAY MORNING.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...93
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