751
FXUS64 KLUB 211718
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1118 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY.
- WARMER AND WINDY, WITH POSSIBLE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS MID-NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO NORTHERLY BY SATURDAY MORNING. VERY COLD MORNING LOWS IN
THE LOW 20S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FAR SW PANHANDLE. THESE WINDS
WILL PEAK WITH GUSTS POTENTIALLY TO 25 MPH ALONG AND EAST OF I-27.
DESPITE THIS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE MINIMAL WITH HIGHER
HUMIDITIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE LOW-TO-
MID 50S, HOWEVER SUNNY SKIES WILL PREVAIL WITH THE ASSOCIATED DRIER
AIRMASS. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH WEAKENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1039 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
THE AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN EAST OF THE REGION ON
SUNDAY WITH ONLY A WEAK LOW OVER THE ROCKIES. AS SUCH, WE WILL GET A
REPRIEVE FROM THE BREEZY WINDS AS OF LATE, WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLIES.
THIS WILL LIKEWISE BRING HIGHS AROUND 5-8 DEGREES WARMER THAN
SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL JET LIFTS NORTHWARD ON MONDAY AND
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AS RELATIVELY LOWER PRESSURE DEVELOPS
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FLOW ALOFT
WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL TUESDAY AND WINDS WILL FURTHER INCREASE OUT
OF THE SOUTHWEST, BRINGING WELL-ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW 80S. THIS WILL ALSO LEAD TO ELEVATED TO POSSIBLY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WITH HUMIDITIES LIKEWISE FALLING TO NEAR 10%.
WEDNESDAY WILL SEE THE WARMEST CONDITIONS OF THE WEEK WITH
WIDESPREAD MID 80S AND CONTINUED FIRE CONCERNS. A COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY, HOWEVER THE COOLER TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE
SHORT-LIVED AS THE PATTERN FAVORS THE WARM WEATHER TO CONTINUE INTO
NEXT WEEKEND. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
VFR CONDITION EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. N-NE WINDS 15G25KT
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST 03Z FOLLOWED BY VRB05KT AT ALL THREE
TERMINALS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...28
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