669
FXUS64 KLUB 211803
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1203 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
- COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH MONDAY.
- WARMER AND WINDY, WITH POSSIBLE ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
THE COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH THE FA ON SCHEDULE THIS MORNING,
LEAVING COOLER TEMPS AND BREEZY WINDS IN ITS WAKE. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET AS BROAD SURFACE RIDGING TAKES HOLD, AND THIS
WILL HELP OVERNIGHT LOWS TO DROP INTO THE 20S AREA WIDE. WINDS WILL
VEER TO THE SOUTH BY MID DAY SUNDAY AS SURFACE RIDING MOVES TO THE
EAST AND LEE SURFACE TROUGHING DEVELOPS ACROSS COLORADO AND NEW
MEXICO AHEAD OF AN UPPER RIDGE. VEERING OF THE SURFACE WINDS SHOULD
HOLD OFF LONG ENOUGH TO ALLOW HIGHS TO REMAIN IN THE 50S SUNDAY.
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN AROUND 15 MPH OR LESS THROUGH
THE DAY SUNDAY.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1201 PM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL DOMINATE THE FA THROUGH TUESDAY AS
UPPER RIDGING DOMINATES THE WESTERN CONUS. THE UPPER FLOW WILL
BEGIN TO GRADUALLY FLATTEN TUESDAY AS A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO BIG SKY COUNTRY. A
SECOND, MORE SUBTLE SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON, AHEAD OF WHICH A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP. THIS
SURFACE LOW IS PROGGED TO MOVE FROM NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS COULD CREATE
LOW END WINDY CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING AND LEAD TO ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE BIG SKY COUNTRY IS
PROGGED TO PUSH A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS MID
WEEK, MOVING THROUGH THE FA BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS SEEM MORE LIKELY WITH THIS FRONT AS
PRESSURE RISES BEHIND THE FRONT ARE PROGGED AROUND 15 MB IN 6
HOURS, WITH WINDS SUBSIDING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION. THE FRONT SHOULD HELP COOL HIGHS
FROM THE 80S ON WEDNESDAY TO THE 60S/LOW 70S THURSDAY. WARMER
TEMPS WILL RETURN BY LATE WEEK AHEAD OF ANOTHER POTENTIAL COLD
FRONT BRINGING ADDITIONAL WINDY CONDITIONS AND COOL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1116 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2026
VFR CONDITION EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. N-NE WINDS 15G25KT
EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST 03Z FOLLOWED BY VRB05KT AT ALL THREE
TERMINALS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...28
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