973
FXUS64 KLUB 111127
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
627 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 623 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
- COOLER AND VERY WINDY WEDNESDAY BEHIND A MORNING COLD FRONT.
- WARM AND DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH A COOL-DOWN EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1059 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
WESTERLY WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWARD EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A COLD
FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. THESE WILL QUICKLY INCREASE AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BETWEEN A ~1030 HIGH IN THE LEE OF THE
ROCKIES AND A 1010 MB LOW TO OUR SOUTH. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY, WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND GUSTS TO 55 MPH. THESE SHOULD
PEAK AROUND THE NOON HOUR. TEMPERATURES WILL SUBSEQUENTLY FALL
INTO THE 60S. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH A DEVELOPING STRONG SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE AND BREEZY SW SURFACE WINDS WILL BRING A RETURN OF
WARMER CONDITIONS, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW 70S.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1059 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
UPPER FLOW WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH A
SIGNIFICANT WARM UP IN STORE. LIGHT WEST WINDS WILL TURN NORTH AND
THEN BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HIGHS IN THE LOW-TO-MID 80S ARE
EXPECTED. DOWNSLOPING DUE WESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST ON SATURDAY
AND SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE-AVERAGE HIGHS WILL OCCUR. LUBBOCK MAY SEE
ITS FIRST 90 DEGREE DAY OF THE YEAR (EASILY BEATING THE OLD RECORD
OF 86), WITH MID 90S POSSIBLE OFF THE CAPROCK. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH WESTERLY WINDS VEERING NORTHEASTERLY BY THE
AFTERNOON. EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY WITH A LARGE
DROP IN TEMPERATURES. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 50S IN
MANY AREAS. THE COOL DOWN HOWEVER WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS A STRONG
RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TUESDAY INTO MID-NEXT
WEEK. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 623 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2026
POST-FRONTAL NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
REST OF THIS MORNING AND WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH MOST OF TODAY.
SUSTAINED SPEEDS IN EXCESS OF 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO ABOUT 45 KT
ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST MID-AFTERNOON BEFORE
BEGINNING TO GRADUALLY DECREASE. PERIODS OF MVFR VISIBILITY FROM
BLDU ALSO APPEAR LIKELY THIS MORNING, BUT IT IS UNCERTAIN HOW LONG
THIS WILL PERSIST. OUTSIDE OF BLDU, VFR WILL PREVAIL.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ021>044.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...30
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