678
FXUS64 KLUB 161824
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
124 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
- CONSIDERABLY WARMER AFTER TUESDAY, INCLUDING RECORD HIGH
POTENTIAL BY LATE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
CHILLY TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. THIS
WILL BE AIDED BY CLOUD COVER. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT
SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND WILL EVENTUALLY SHIFT WINDS
TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. DESPITE THIS AND CLEARING SKIES, HIGHS
WILL, AT BEST, ONLY WARM TO AROUND 50. THIS SHOULD, HOWEVER, BE
ENOUGH TO HELP OVERNIGHT LOWS TO BE WARMER THAN WHAT WAS OBSERVED
THIS MORNING, MID 20S TO MID 30S VS LOW TEENS TO MID 20S. UPPER FLOW
WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY AS A LONG WAVE UPPER TROUGH
REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS AND AN UPPER HIGH CURRENTLY JUST OFF
THE SOCAL COAST MOVES INLAND. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE
SOUTHWEST THANKS TO LEE SURFACE TROUGHING. LOW END BREEZY CONDITIONS
ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS AN EMBEDDED UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. OTHERWISE TUESDAY WILL BE QUIET
WITH HIGHS WARMING BACK INTO THE MID 70S AREA WIDE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 119 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
THE EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS UNEVENTFUL WEDNESDAY INTO THE LATE
WEEKEND. THE UPPER HIGH WILL MOSTLY STAY PUT OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NORTHWEST TO NORTHERLY FLOW
REMAINING OVERHEAD. THIS WILL KEEP PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST. THE
UPPER HIGH IS PROGGED TO BEGIN PUSHING EASTWARD ONCE AGAIN BY THE
WEEKEND. INCREASING THICKNESSES ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER HIGH WILL
HELP WARM HIGHS INTO THE LOW TO UPPER 90S BY FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY
REACHING THE CENTURY MARK ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS SATURDAY. THERE
IS GENERAL CONSENSUS BETWEEN MODELS WITH FLATTENING OF THE UPPER
HIGH SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE
FA BY LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1203 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2026
VFR OVERCAST WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR THROUGH DUSK AT KCDS, KLBB, AND
KPVW. A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY PARKED IN W TX WILL
MOVE OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS EVENING, WITH WINDS TRANSITIONING
TO THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND BECOMING BREEZY BY THE END OF THE TAF
PERIOD.
SINCAVAGE
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...09
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