835
FXUS64 KLUB 191830
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
130 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
- UNSEASONABLY HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE EACH DAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH NEW RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY.
- ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE DANGER IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY.
- A BRIEF COOLDOWN IS EXPECTED MONDAY BEFORE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES RETURN NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THE REST OF TODAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE UPPER HIGH CURRENTLY OVER ARIZONA, CLEARLY
DISTINGUISHABLE ON WV IMAGERY, WILL REMAIN MOSTLY STATIONARY THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING. A SURFACE TROUGH IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH OUR
NORTHERN ZONES AS OFF NOON AND IS BRINGING A WIND SHIFT WITH WINDS ON
THE NORTH SIDE OF THE TROUGH BEING NORTHERLY AND WINDS SOUTH OF THE
TROUGH BEING SOUTHWESTERLY. DESPITE WINDS BEING OUT OF THE NORTH,
THERE IS NOTHING COLD ABOUT THE WIND SHIFT. WE WILL STILL SEE HIGHS
REACH INTO THE 90S AREA WIDE TODAY. WARM AFTERNOON TEMPS WILL HELP
TO TRANSLATE TO WARM OVERNIGHT LOWS, UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LITTLE
WILL CHANGE WITH THE PATTERN FRIDAY WITH A NEARLY IDENTICAL DAY
EXPECTED WITH THE EXCEPTION OF HIGHS POSSIBLY BEING A DEGREE OR TWO
WARMER OVER TODAY'S HIGHS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 129 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
THE UPPER HIGH WILL SLOWLY PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HIGHS REACHING THE MID/UPPER 90S ON THE
CAPROCK AND AROUND 100 OFF THE CAPROCK BY SATURDAY. SOME RELIEF FROM
THE HEAT SHOULD BE ON THE WAY STARTING SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE UPPER
HIGH WILL QUICKLY FLATTEN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL BE FOLLOWED
BY A COLD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. THE TIMING OF
THE FRONT WILL DETERMINE HOW WARM AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE SUNDAY.
CURRENTLY HIGHS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 90-100 ACROSS THE
FA. MONDAY WILL HOLD A DIFFERENT STORY AS THE COLD FRONT WILL KEEP
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE 70S. THIS WILL BE VERY SHORT LIVED AS THE
UPPER HIGH WILL BE OUT FOR REVENGE AND WILL BUILD OVER THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST ONCE AGAIN BY TUESDAY BUT WILL BE IN A WEAKER STATE, H589
VS THE CURRENT H596. IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH MID
WEEK BEFORE FLATTENING ONCE AGAIN BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 110 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THIS TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE AT ALL THREE TAF SITES.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...10
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