479
FXUS64 KLUB 202317
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
617 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 617 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
- RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY.
- CRITICAL FIRE DANGER POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND.
- AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN MONDAY, THE REST OF NEXT WEEK LOOKS TO
BE DRY AND HOT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
THE REST OF TODAY WILL BE A WASH, RINSE, REPEAT FROM THURSDAY. THE
UPPER HIGH TO OUR WEST CONTINUES TO REMAIN STATIONARY OVER ARIZONA
WHILE THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
OVER THE FA REMAINS RELAXED AND IS ALLOWING SURFACE WINDS TO REMAIN
MOSTLY OUT OF THE WEST AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS. AFTERNOON HIGHS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH INTO THE MID/UPPER 90S WITH A MESONET OR TWO
ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS POSSIBLY REACH TO AROUND 100. HIGHS AROUND
100 WILL BE MORE LIKELY AND WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE ROLLING PLAINS
SATURDAY. THE UPPER HIGH WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT EASTWARD RESULTING IN
AN INCREASE OF HEIGHTS. A SURFACE LEE TROUGH WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING
LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND WILL BRING SURFACE WINDS TO THE SOUTHWEST
FOR MOST OF THE DAY WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15 MPH ACROSS OUR
NORTHWESTERN ZONES TO 10 MPH OR LESS ACROSS OUR SOUTHEASTERN
ZONES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1204 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
THE UPPER HIGH WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN BY LATE SATURDAY/EARLY SUNDAY
DURING WHICH TIME A COLD FRONT WILL BEING RACING SOUTHWARD FROM THE
NORTHERN PLAINS. THE COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO REACH OUR NORTHERN
ZONES BEFORE NOON SUNDAY AND BE THROUGH THE FA BY MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON. SUNDAY'S HIGH TEMPS WILL BE DEPENDENT ON THE TIMING OF
THE FROPA, BUT ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY IN THE 90S AREA
WIDE. WINDS WILL ALSO BE NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL AS HEIGHT RISES BEHIND
THE FRONT ARE PROGGED AROUND 4-5 MB/3 HOURS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE BY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE
REGION. DESPITE NOTICEABLY COOLER TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT,
SUNDAY NIGHT LOWS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 40S AND 50S.
MONDAY'S HIGHS, HOWEVER, ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT LEAST 20 DEGREES
COOLER THAN SUNDAY'S HIGHS, LOW TO MID 70S AREA WIDE. THE COOLER
TEMPS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE UPPER RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BUILD
OVER THE REGION BY MID WEEK. WHILE TEMPS WILL STILL BE WARM, THIS
HIGH IS PROGGED TO ONLY INCREASE TO AROUND H588 VS THE CURRENT H594.
ADDITIONAL RELIEF FROM WARM TEMPERATURES WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE
NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER FRONT IS PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 617 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
VFR WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR TXZ021>044.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...30
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