135
FXUS64 KLUB 021107
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
607 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 606 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
- ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
- THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(REST OF TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
THE FINAL REMNANTS OF A SQUALL LINE WERE FOUND EXITING STONEWALL
COUNTY AT 10 PM AHEAD OF A DRYLINE AND WEAK PACIFIC COLD FRONT.
ALOFT, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IN WSW FLOW WILL KICK ACROSS THE TX-OK
PANHANDLES BEFORE DAYBREAK SETTING UP DEEP WESTERLY FLOW THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL FIZZLE BY DAYBREAK LEAVING THE DRYLINE
TO HANG OUT FROM NEAR WICHITA FALLS TO JUNCTION BY MIDDAY. WEST OF
THE DRYLINE WE'LL BE BASKING IN BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS AND MILD
TEMPS, BUT THESE WINDS WILL BACK SOUTHERLY THURSDAY NIGHT IN
RESPONSE TO PRESSURE FALLS/LEE TROUGHING FOCUSING FROM EASTERN NEW
MEXICO INTO THE HIGH PLAINS OF COLORADO. THIS WILL ALLOW THE DRYLINE
TO RETREAT OVER ALL BUT OUR NW ZONES THROUGH THE NIGHT WHILE
TUGGING MUGGIER SOUTHERLIES NORTHWARD. SOME LOW CLOUDS MAY
MATERIALIZE THURSDAY NIGHT, BUT HOPES FOR PRECIP ARE TOO SLIM AS
THIS MOISTURE WILL LIKELY BE TOO SHALLOW AT THIS POINT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1055 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
AN UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL HAVE SHIFTED
OVER THE BLACK HILLS BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING A SURFACE LOW IN
EASTERN COLORADO TO SHOVE EAST AHEAD OF A HEALTHY COLD FRONT. THE
DRYLINE IS EXPECTED TO BISECT THE FORECAST AREA FROM SW-NE ON FRIDAY
WITH RICHER GULF MOISTURE POOLING TO ITS EAST. SOME DRIZZLE OR LIGHT
SHOWERS AREN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION FRIDAY MORNING IN THE MOIST
SECTOR BEFORE DESTABILIZATION INCREASES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON UNDER
INCREASINGLY CYCLONIC SW FLOW IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. CAPPING
OF THE MOIST SECTOR MAY KEEP THINGS QUIET UNTIL A COLD FRONT
FRIDAY DIVES SOUTH AND FORCES PARCELS TO FINALLY CONVECT. NBM'S POPS
APPEAR OVERLY GENEROUS ON THE CAPROCK, SO SOME MASSAGING WAS
PERFORMED TO KEEP THIS MENTION MORE REALISTIC AND IN STEP WITH THE
LATEST ENSEMBLES AND MESOSCALE MODELS. FOLLOWING FROPA FRIDAY
NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, POPS WANE AND HIGH TEMPS SHOULD
EASILY FALL 15-20 DEGREES BELOW FRIDAY'S READINGS FOLLOWED BY A
GRADUAL WARM UP FOR SUNDAY. THERE MAY BE A FEW SHOWERS THAT SNEAK
INTO OUR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON NEAR AN ADVANCING
WARM FRONT, OTHERWISE QUIET WEATHER LOOKS TO PREVAIL.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 606 AM CDT THU APR 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...10
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