278
FXUS64 KLUB 241711
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1211 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
- HOT, DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BRING ELEVATED TO CRITICAL
FIRE DANGER TO THE REGION SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH
CONDITIONS BEING MOST FAVORABLE ON SUNDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OUT OF
THE REGION AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM THE
MID-40S IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE TO UP TO THE UPPER-50S AND LOW-60S IN
THE ROLLING PLAINS. A WEAK FRONT WILL COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY,
BUT FRIDAY WILL STILL FEATURE HIGHS IN THE UPPER-80S TO LOW-90S WITH
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. SINGLE DIGIT RH VALUES, AS LOW AS 7 PERCENT,
WILL ALLOW FOR PERIODS OF ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS WEST OF I-27 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SPEEDS WILL ONCE AGAIN DECREASE OVERNIGHT INTO SATURDAY WITH
SIMILAR LOW TEMPERATURES AS THE NIGHT BEFORE. WIND SPEEDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGHOUT SATURDAY, REACHING CLOSE TO 30 MPH IN SOME SPOTS
DUE TO A SERIES OF SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT WILL BEGIN TO ENTER THE
REGION. THIS WILL FURTHER ELEVATE THE RISK OF FIRE WEATHER AS
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL STILL BE IN THE LOW TEENS TO SINGLE DIGITS
THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1046 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
FIRE DANGER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND POSSIBLY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH WINDY AND DRY CONDITIONS PERSISTING THROUGHOUT
THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK. A SURFACE LOW WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
~990 MB WILL MOVE FROM THE ROCKIES TO THE NORTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE,
USHERING WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS UP TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH
ON SUNDAY. EACH AFTERNOON DURING THE WEEK WILL SEE WINDY AND DRY
CONDITIONS WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL FEATURE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
TEMPERATURES LIKELY DUE TO A WEAK COLD FRONT, WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID-80S POSSIBLE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1208 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2026
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT AND PREVAIL OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BE ABLE TO DRAW INCREASED MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION AND CREATE POSSIBLE IFR CONDITIONS AT KCDS BEGINNING EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING. THERE IS MUCH LESS CONFIDENCE AT THE MOMENT IN
LOWER CIGS AND VISBYS AT KLBB AND KPVW.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR TXZ021>024-027>030-033>036-039>042.
SHORT TERM...RMS
LONG TERM....RMS
AVIATION...01
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