768
FXUS64 KLUB 270545
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1245 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
- CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. A RED
FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM MONDAY AND A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING MORE LIKELY THURSDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
AN UPPER TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR THE WINDY AND DUSTY
CONDITIONS TODAY WILL CONTINUE TO DEPART EASTWARD. WINDS WILL
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT, BUT REMAIN ELEVATED OUT OF THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH.
THIS WILL MODERATE LOW TEMPERATURES, FALLING INTO THE 50S AND 60S.
ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON MONDAY. THIS WILL
BRING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW OVER NW NEW MEXICO. HOWEVER,
THIS WILL BE WEAKER THAN YESTERDAY DEEPENING TO JUST BELOW 1000 MB
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS SUCH, WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
BREEZY BUT NOT AS STRONG AS TODAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WITH DRY FUELS AND HUMIDITIES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL AGAIN OCCUR ACROSS THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA AND A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
NOON THROUGH 8 PM. HIGHS WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN TODAY, RANGING
FROM THE LOW-TO-MID 80S ON THE CAPROCK TO LOW 90S OFF THE CAPROCK.
TUESDAY WILL GENERALLY BE A REPEAT OF MONDAY. ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE ROCKIES, ALBEIT A BIT MORE SHALLOW.
NONETHELESS, A SURFACE LOW WILL RESULT IN ITS USUAL LOCATION TO OUR
NW. WIND SPEEDS WILL BE NEARLY IDENTICAL TO MONDAY AND GIVEN THE
SLIGHTLY WARMER HIGH TEMPERATURES AND SINGLE-DIGIT HUMIDITIES,
ANOTHER FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF THE AREA,
EXCLUDING OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY
LOWER.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO OUT OF THE NORTH THEN EASTWARD DURING THE DAY.
THIS WILL FINALLY END THE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND HIGHS WILL BE
MUCH COOLER, RANGING FROM THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S UNDER MOSTLY CLOUDY
SKIES. A DEEP CUTOFF UPPER LOW WILL QUICKLY MOVE ONSHORE NEAR
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BRINGING A STRONG FETCH OF UPPER PACIFIC
MOISTURE DOWNSTREAM OF IT. SSE SURFACE WINDS WILL ALSO BRING IN GULF
MOISTURE. GFS CONTINUES TO REMAIN SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE ECMWF,
HOWEVER IN ANY CASE THE PATTERN IS THE SAME AND CONFIDENCE CONTINUES
TO INCREASE FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL LATE THURSDAY ALL
THE WAY THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOULD THIS HOLD, TEMPERATURES FRIDAY WILL
BE WELL BELOW NORMAL, WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE 50S.
HIGH PRESSURE LOOKS TO BUILD BY SUNDAY, WHICH WOULD BRING A RETURN
OF WARMER AND DRY CONDITIONS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1244 AM CDT MON APR 27 2026
DUST WILL CONTINUE TO SETTLE OUT OVER LBB AND PVW FOR A FEW MORE
HOURS CAUSING MVFR VISBYS. CDS COULD SEE A BRIEF SHRA IN THE NEXT
1-2 HOURS, ELSE VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH GUSTY W WINDS RESUMING
AROUND 14Z WITH GUSTS OF 35 KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1041 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2026
SUSTAINED WESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH SINGLE-DIGIT
HUMIDITIES WILL AGAIN LEAD TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA FROM
NOON THROUGH 8 PM. NEARLY THE SAME CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR
TUESDAY, WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER TEMPERATURES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED AGAIN FOR MOST OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING
HOURS, EXCLUDING OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE WINDS WILL BE
SLIGHTLY LOWER.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
TXZ021>044.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING FOR TXZ021>025-027>031-033>037-039>043.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...93
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