278
FXUS64 KLUB 012310
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
610 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
- SPRINKLES TO LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE THE REST OF THE EVENING.
- WARMER AND DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE UPPER LOW ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
NM AND WEST TEXAS. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO TREK EASTWARD ACROSS
CENTRAL TEXAS KEEPING THE BEST CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS TO THE SOUTH
OF THE CWA. CURRENT RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES AREAS ON THE CAPROCK
AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA ARE SEEING SOME LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
CHANCES FOR SOME SPRINKLES AND LOCALIZED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH THE DECENT
RAIN WILL MISS MUCH OF THE REGION, CLOUDY SKIES THROUGH THE DAY WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. AFTER
THE UPPER TROUGH EXITS AWAY FROM THE REGION THIS EVENING,
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DIE OFF AROUND SUNSET. LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO A COOL OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS
IN THE MID 30S OVER THE FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TO UPPER
40S OFF THE CAPROCK. UPPER RIDGING HAS BEGUN TO BUILD OVER WESTERN
CONUS AND WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. SATURDAY WILL THE THE START OF A GRADUAL MULTI-DAY WARM UP.
SLIGHT HEIGHT AND THICKNESS INCREASES FROM THE UPPER RIDGING AS WELL
AS SURFACE WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON WILL
WARM TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S ACROSS THE REGION.
OTHERWISE, IT WILL BE A PLEASANT AND DRY SATURDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
THE GRADUAL WARMING OF TEMPERATURES AS THE UPPER RIDGE PASSES
OVERHEAD WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST COUPLE OF DAYS NEXT WEEK.
SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER DRY BUT PLEASANT DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S. HOWEVER, THE 80 TO 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO RETURN MONDAY AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY. THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SURFACE LOW DURING EACH DAY, CAN EXPECT BREEZY WESTERLY WINDS DURING
THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH DAY. WITH THE LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION WE
GOT IN THE PAST 24 HOURS AND BREEZY WINDS, ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL
BE POSSIBLE BOTH DAYS. A BACK-DOOR COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION BY MID-WEEK, HOWEVER MODELS DISAGREE WITH THE
TIMING. ECMWF HAS A FASTER TRACK WITH THE FRONT PUSHING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE GFS GIVING A SLOWER TRACK WITH THE FRONT
PUSHING THROUGH OVERNIGHT TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. EITHER
TRACK WILL COOL TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY FOR WEDNESDAY, HOWEVER IF
ECMWF COMES TO FRUITION, TEMPERATURES MAY BE COOLER AND WINDS
LIGHTER ON TUESDAY THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY FORECASTED. AN UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN CHANGE COULD BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES AND POSSIBLE RAIN
CHANCES NEXT WEEKEND, HOWEVER AS THIS IS STILL A WEEK AWAY,
THEREFORE DON'T GET YOUR HOPES UP.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2026
VFR OVERCAST WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY LIFT AND EVENTUALLY ERODE
DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS AT KCDS, KLBB, AND KPVW. LIGHT SPRINKLES
WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS
FOR THE ENTIRETY OF THE TAF PERIOD.
SINCAVAGE
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...09
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page