311
FXUS64 KLUB 311125
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
625 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 622 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
- HOT SUNDAY, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROLLING PLAINS.
- ACTIVE PATTERN DEVELOPS NEXT WEEK WITH DAILY CHANCES OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1014 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2026
SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME GENERALLY LIGHT AND
VARIABLE OVERNIGHT ON THE CAPROCK WITH SLIGHTLY MORE ELEVATED SW
WINDS OFF THE CAPROCK. AS SUCH, A WIDE RANGE OF LOWS ARE EXPECTED
FROM THE MID 50S TO THE NORTHWEST TO NEAR 70 OVER THE SOUTHERN
ROLLING PLAINS. UPPER HEIGHTS WILL RISE UNDER A RIDGE SUNDAY.
COMBINED WITH THE CONTINUED GENERALLY SOUTHERLY FLOW, HIGHS WILL BE
EVEN A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN SATURDAY, TOPPING OUT IN THE MID-TO-
UPPER 90S. A DRYLINE WILL DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH A
SHORTWAVE AND A RELATIVELY STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET. BASED ON THE
DRYLINE'S LATEST FORECASTED POSITION, ANY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
REMAIN CONFINED TO THE SOUTHERN ROLLING PLAINS PER THE CAMS AND THUS
POPS HAVE BEEN RETAINED THERE. STORMS SHOULD TAPER OFF AFTER SUNSET
AND A QUIET OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY IS EXPECTED WITH LOWS MOSTLY IN
THE 60S. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE SHOULD KEEP THE ATMOSPHERE
MOSTLY CAPPED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL SHORTWAVES
MOVING OVER THE REGION IN THE AFTERNOON MAY LEAD TO SOME MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO MONDAY EVENING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1014 PM CDT SAT MAY 30 2026
AN UPPER LOW WILL GRADUALLY BECOME CUTOFF FROM THE MAIN FLOW PATTERN
AND TRACK INTO NORTHWESTERN MEXICO. THIS WILL HELP DISPLACE THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH AND LEAD TO A MOIST SW FLOW ALOFT
BEGINNING TUESDAY. DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK, ALONG WITH
RELATIVELY COOLER TEMPERATURES. WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY MAY SEE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL, PARTICULARLY WITH TRAINING ANY
THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH IT REMAINS A BIT TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE
SPECIFIC AMOUNTS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 AM CDT SUN MAY 31 2026
VFR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED TSRA ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF
KLBB/KCDS THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CONVECTIVE IMPACTS TO THE TERMINALS
APPEAR UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. NEVERTHELESS, EXPECT STRONG
DOWNBURST WINDS IN VICINITY OF ANY TS TODAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...30
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