155
FXUS64 KLUB 190338
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1038 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1037 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING, MAINLY OVER THE FAR SE PANHANDLE. A FEW STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE.
- SLIGHT CHANCES OF STORMS FRIDAY EVENING, MAINLY OVER THE FAR SW
PANHANDLE.
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY THIS WEEKEND, WITH DAILY STORM CHANCES
RETURNING MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING, WITH A FEW STORMS POTENTIALLY BECOMING SEVERE.
PWATS/HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN HIGH, ALTHOUGH FORCING WILL BE RATHER
UNIMPRESSIVE. STORMS WILL TAPER OFF AROUND SUNRISE AND FLOW ALOFT
WILL WEAKEN LEADING TO MORE QUIET CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES RELATIVELY COOLER,
GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE FAR
SOUTHWEST PANHANDLE BY THE EVENING HOURS, POTENTIALLY LEADING TO
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA. SEVERE
WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AND
WINDS WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THIS WILL BRING
WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
SUNDAY WILL SEE EVEN HOTTER CONDITIONS AS WINDS FURTHER VEER TO
SOUTHWESTERLY. WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE-DIGITS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA, WITH BORDERLINE HEAT ADVISORY POTENTIAL OVER THE
SOUTHERN SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS. A SHORTWAVE WILL PASS TO THE
NORTH ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND THE
ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION FARTHER NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. GREATER STORM CHANCES WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVING MORE DIRECTLY
OVER OUR AREA. CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THEREAFTER AHEAD OF A BUILDING
RIDGE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. HIGHS WILL REMAIN WARM, BUT NOT
OVERLY OPPRESSIVE INTO MID-NEXT WEEK, GENERALLY IN THE MID 90S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
CONDITIONS WILL STEADILY DETERIORATE THROUGH THE REST OF THIS
EVENING WITH MVFR CIGS EXPECTED TO FALL TO IFR IN THE 03Z-05Z
TIMEFRAME WITH IFR CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO INCREASE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, ESPECIALLY TO THE
EAST OF THE TERMINALS. IT APPEARS LIKELY THAT KCDS WILL EXPERIENCE
A PERIOD OF THUNDER TONIGHT, BUT CONFIDENCE IN CONVECTIVE IMPACTS
AND TIMING AT KLBB AND KPVW IS MUCH LOWER. CONVECTION IS EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE BEFORE SUNRISE, BUT LIFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED AT KLBB
AND KPVW ON FRIDAY MORNING BEFORE CONDITIONS IMPROVE AROUND
MIDDAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...30
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