022
FXUS64 KLUB 190539
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1239 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1237 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING, MAINLY OVER THE FAR SE PANHANDLE. A FEW STORMS
MAY BECOME SEVERE.
- SLIGHT CHANCES OF STORMS FRIDAY EVENING, MAINLY OVER THE FAR SW
PANHANDLE.
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY THIS WEEKEND, WITH DAILY STORM CHANCES
RETURNING MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING, WITH A FEW STORMS POTENTIALLY BECOMING SEVERE.
PWATS/HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN HIGH, ALTHOUGH FORCING WILL BE RATHER
UNIMPRESSIVE. STORMS WILL TAPER OFF AROUND SUNRISE AND FLOW ALOFT
WILL WEAKEN LEADING TO MORE QUIET CONDITIONS DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES RELATIVELY COOLER,
GENERALLY IN THE MID 80S. A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH THE FAR
SOUTHWEST PANHANDLE BY THE EVENING HOURS, POTENTIALLY LEADING TO
ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THAT AREA. SEVERE
WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AND
WINDS WILL SWITCH TO A MORE SOUTHERLY DIRECTION. THIS WILL BRING
WARMER TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 90S UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2026
SUNDAY WILL SEE EVEN HOTTER CONDITIONS AS WINDS FURTHER VEER TO
SOUTHWESTERLY. WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE TRIPLE-DIGITS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA, WITH BORDERLINE HEAT ADVISORY POTENTIAL OVER THE
SOUTHERN SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS. A SHORTWAVE WILL PASS TO THE
NORTH ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER MODELS CONTINUE TO TREND THE
ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION FARTHER NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA. GREATER STORM CHANCES WILL OCCUR MONDAY AND TUESDAY
AFTERNOONS/EVENINGS WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES MOVING MORE DIRECTLY
OVER OUR AREA. CHANCES WILL DIMINISH THEREAFTER AHEAD OF A BUILDING
RIDGE OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. HIGHS WILL REMAIN WARM, BUT NOT
OVERLY OPPRESSIVE INTO MID-NEXT WEEK, GENERALLY IN THE MID 90S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1239 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2026
WIDESPREAD MVFR STRATUS IS ON TRACK TO LOWER TO IFR IN THE COMING
HOURS AT ALL TERMINALS BEFORE SLOWLY RECOVERING TO MVFR LATER THIS
MORNING. SOME SHRA OR BRIEF TS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION AT CDS
THROUGH THE MORNING. SKIES SHOULD FLIP TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON WITH
LIGHT WINDS PREVAILING.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...93
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