401
FXUS64 KLUB 271748
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1248 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1247 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
- A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA
TODAY.
- TRIPLE DIGIT HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OF THE REGION FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE WITH THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE PARKED OVER
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. DEEP BOUNDARY
LAYER MIXING WILL OCCUR TODAY AND AGAIN ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON
BRINGING DEW POINTS DOWN ENOUGH TO LOWER THE APPARENT TEMPERATURE
FORECAST. AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK WILL SEE APPARENT TEMPERATURES CLOSE
TO THE AIR TEMPERATURE WITH LOWER APPARENT TEMPERATURES ON THE
CAPROCK. AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK WILL LIKELY SEE TEMPERATURES EXCEED
105 DEGREES FOR TUESDAY WITH MORE MARGINAL HEAT ADVISORY
TEMPERATURES ON THE CAPROCK.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
LATE ON TUESDAY, THE RIDGE WILL SLIGHTLY WEAKEN DROPPING MID-LEVEL
MOISTURE INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. A
SURFACE PRESSURE TROUGH WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE
INTO EASTERN NEW MEXICO. CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED WITHIN THIS
SURFACE TROUGH BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH AND WEST OF THE
REGION. FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, THE UPPER RIDGE WILL
MIGRATE WESTWARD AND INTENSIFY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN US CLOSE TO
600DM OR HIGHER. ALTHOUGH A RELIEF FROM THE HEAT IS UNLIKELY, THE
MOVEMENT OF THE RIDGE MAY BRING NORTHWEST FLOW CONVECTION BEGINNING
ON THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1247 PM CDT MON JUL 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL. CHECK DENSITY
ALTITUDE.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ021>044.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR TXZ024>026-031-
032-037-038-043-044.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...10
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