711
FXUS64 KLUB 080322
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1022 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
- SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION BY LATE NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
THE CAM GUIDANCE THAT HAS BEEN OVERZEALOUS HAS FINALLY CAUGHT UP
WITH THE CURRENT CONVECTION ONGOING ACROSS THE TEXAS PANHANDLE AND
EASTERN NEW MEXICO. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE ACROSS THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH ONLY A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF MAKING IT INTO THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
OTHERWISE, DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY WILL BE NEARLY IDENTICAL TO FRIDAY'S
OBSERVED TEMPERATURES WITH UPPER 90S ON THE CAPROCK AND LOWER 100S
OFF THE CAPROCK.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1021 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
THERE IS NOT MUCH TO WRITE HOME ABOUT IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH AT LEAST
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING ONSHORE ON
THE WEST COAST WILL WEAKEN THE RIDGE AND SHIFT IT TO THE
SOUTHEASTERN US STARTING AROUND MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK. DESPITE THE
WEAKENING RIDGE, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEARLY IDENTICAL DAY TO
DAY SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGES. BECAUSE OF THE MOVEMENT OF THE
RIDGE, MODELS HAVE BACKED OFF A BIT ON MID-WEEK PRECIPITATION
CHANCES. THE RIDGE IS NOW EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY MORE LATE WEEK
POSSIBLY BRINGING MORE MONSOONAL LIKE CONVECTION TO THE AREA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT FRI AUG 7 2026
A FEW OF THE CONVECTION ALLOWING MODELS ARE HINTING AT
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL ACROSS WEST TEXAS THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THUS FAR, REALITY HAS BEEN UNDERWHELMING AND
WHILE A STORM THREAT DOES EXIST AT KLBB/KPVW/KCDS, THE
PROBABILITY AND CONFIDENCE IS MUCH TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAF
AT THIS TIME. THE BEST WINDOW FOR STORMS IS LIKELY IN THE 02Z TO
05Z RANGE. OTHERWISE, VFR TO PERSIST OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY. STRONG DOWNBURST POTENTIAL WILL EXIST UNDER STORMS AND
VIRGA.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...26
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page