005
FXUS64 KLUB 220342
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1042 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
- HOT TEMPERATURES CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
- ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA. MILD
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 70S REMAIN EXPECTED. SUBTLE HEIGHT RISES WILL
ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE EVEN FURTHER SATURDAY AND THE
HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXPECTED TO INCLUDE LUBBOCK. A WEAK SHORTWAVE
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA BY EVENING. BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE
GENERALLY EAST OF I-27 WHERE GREATEST FORCING WILL OCCUR, HOWEVER A
STRAY STORM COULD OCCUR ANYWHERE. AGAIN, BRIEF LOCALLY STRONG GUSTS
AND DOWNPOURS WOULD BE THE MAIN CONCERN. THESE SHOULD TAPER OFF BY
LATE-EVENING WITH ANOTHER QUIET AND MILD EVENING THEREAFTER.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1040 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER RIDGE WILL ESSENTIALLY STALL IN PLACE FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AND VERY LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IS
EXPECTED. HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE THE WEEKEND
ALONG AND EAST OF I-27 AND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK FOR AREAS OFF THE
CAPROCK. STORM CHANCES SHOULD REMAIN MINIMAL, BUT MAY RETURN BY
MID-TO-LATE NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 602 PM CDT FRI AUG 21 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. THUNDERSTORMS
ARE CURRENTLY DEVELOPING BETWEEN KPVW AND KCDS. VERY SMALL CHANCE
FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP AROUND ANY TERMINAL, THEREFORE HAVE LEFT OUT
OF TAF. ALTHOUGH THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB-SEVERE,
COULD SEE SOME ERRATIC STRONG WIND GUSTS. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO
THE WEST BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL VARY BETWEEN WEST
TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING, ESPECIALLY AROUND KCDS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR TXZ024>026-
030>032-035>038-041>044.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...10
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