794
FXUS64 KLUB 232318
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
618 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 618 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
- RECORD BREAKING HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE MONDAY.
- STRONGER BREEZES AND LOW RH VALUES WILL BRING ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER MONDAY AFTERNOON.
- STORM CHANCES RETURN EACH DAY NEXT WEEK BEGINNING TUESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
THE HEAT CONTINUES TODAY AND MONDAY AS AN UPPER HIGH REMAINS
POSITIONED OVER THE FA. TEMPERATURES ARE ALREADY IN THE MID/UPPER
90S ACROSS THE FA AND SHOULD CONTINUE INCREASING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. UNLIKE SATURDAY EVENING, THERE WILL LIKELY BE NO EVENING
CONVECTION TO HELP GIVE A REPRIEVE FROM THE HOT AFTERNOON. THE
CENTER OF THE UPPER HIGH WILL BE MORE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD ON MONDAY
AND WILL ALLOW HIGHS TO BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN THOSE
EXPECTED TODAY. AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING IS ONCE AGAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE ROLLING PLAINS MONDAY WHILE THE HEAT ADVISORY WILL BE EXPANDED
TO COVER MORE AREAS ON THE CAPROCK. AN EMBEDDED UPPER LOW OVER
SOUTHERN CANADA IS PROGGED TO PUSH A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE
PLAINS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND COULD REACH OUR NORTHERN ZONES BY
LATE EVENING. WHILE THIS WOULD BRING SOME POTENTIAL FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT, THE FRONT'S ARRIVAL WOULD BE WELL AFTER SUNSET AND
WOULD HAVE LITTLE TO NO UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT FOR LIFT. THE FORECAST
WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY FOR THE TIME BEING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1251 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
WHILE HOT TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT WEEK,
SOME SLIGHT RELIEF DOES LOOK TO BE ON THE HORIZON. THE UPPER HIGH
WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY DRIFT WESTWARD BY MID WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW
THICKNESSES TO DECREASE GRADUALLY THROUGH THE WEEK, WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS DROPPING TO THE MID TO UPPER 90S BY THURSDAY. ANOTHER POSITIVE
EFFECT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED RAIN CHANCES. THE UPPER
LOW OVER HUDSON BAY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH WEAK COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS. THOUGH WEAK, NORTH TO NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW
WILL HELP THE COLD FRONTS PUSH FURTHER SOUTH INTO THE FA AND MAY
PROVIDE NEEDED LIFT FOR CONVECTION. THIS WOULD HELP TO FURTHER COOL
TEMPS PAS WHAT THE NBM HAS FORECAST. STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS THE UPPER HIGH MOVES FURTHER WEST AND
WILL GIVE DIURNAL CONVECTION ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS OF NEW MEXICO A
FIGHTING CHANCE TO MOVE INTO THE FA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 618 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
VFR AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ024>026-030>032-
035>038-041>044.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR TXZ024>026-
031-032.
EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ024>026-
031-032-037-038-042>044.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ029-030-
034>036-040-041.
SHORT TERM...51
LONG TERM....51
AVIATION...19
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page