724
FXUS64 KLUB 041631
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1131 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
- HOT WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH LABOR DAY AND MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
- ANOTHER ROUND OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORMS TODAY AND
AGAIN SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
CURRENT CONDITIONS IN THE UPPER LEVELS SHOW RIDGING STRETCHED ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS UP THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY. THE CENTER OF THIS
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE IS SITUATED OVER TENNESSEE, BUT WILL REDEVELOP
WESTWARD OVER THE MISSOURI AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL CUT
OFF THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE WE'VE HAD THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS, AND
ENHANCE SUBSIDENCE OVER THE PANHANDLE GOING INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE CURRENT STREAM OF MOISTURE WILL HELP TO BRING SOME LOWER END
CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR MOST OF THE CWA GOING
INTO THE EVENING, BUT CHANCES FALL OFF AS THE HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES
IN AND DRIES OUT THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE WARMEST
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE LOWER 100S OFF THE CAPROCK AND
IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, AND SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST DURING
THE DAY SATURDAY. LOW POPS WERE MAINTAINED NEAR THE TEXAS AND NEW
MEXICO BORDER FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET OTHERWISE, WITH A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY WIND SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURES AS COOL AS 68 ARE EXPECTED IN THE FAR NORTHWESTERN
AREAS OF THE CAPROCK, AND AS WARM AS 76 IN AREAS OFF THE CAPROCK.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
MOISTURE WILL SHIFT FURTHER WEST INTO NEW MEXICO, WHICH WILL CREATE
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IN THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE SATURDAY EVENING, BUT MOST ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN WEST OF
THE CWA. AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION
THEREAFTER, A PERSISTENT DRY AND HOT PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE
REST OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2026
VFR WITH A FEW TS POSSIBLE NEAR LBB AND PVW LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING, BUT LOW COVERAGE PRECLUDES A TAF MENTION. MICROBURSTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY TS.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SRC AND 93
LONG TERM....SRC AND 93
AVIATION.....SRC AND 93
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