881
FXUS64 KLZK 191739 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1139 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 313 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
THE LAST WAVE OF WINTRY PRECIP IS MOVING OVER CENTRAL TO SERN
SECTIONS EARLY THIS WED MORNING...WITH MIXED PRECIP ACROSS FAR SERN
SECTIONS...AND A BAND OF HEAVY SNOW MOVING ALONG/EAST OF THE I-30/I-
57/US-67 CORRIDOR. SOME LINGERING LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE HRS...BUT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT BEHIND
THE FINAL NARROW BAND OF HEAVIER SNOW. BREEZY NW WINDS WILL ALLOW
FOR SOME BLOWING SNOW...REDUCING VIS AT TIMES...ADDING TO THE
ALREADY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. WILL BE
TRIMMING SOME OF THE WINTER WX PRECIP HEADLINES ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE EXITING PRECIP...BUT WILL KEEP SOME COUNTIES FOR A FEW MORE HRS
TO THE EAST/SE.
ONCE THE PRECIP EXITS...NRLY WINDS WILL CREATE WIND CHILLS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND BELOW ZERO. WILL CONTINUE THE ONGOING COLD WX ADV
FOR THIS MORNING. TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TEENS AND 20S EXPECTED FOR HIGHS. LOWS TONIGHT
WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS FOR CENTRAL TO SRN
SECTIONS...AND MAYBE BELOW ZERO FOR NWRN SECTIONS. WINDS WILL REMAIN
ELEVATED...RESULTING IN WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO FOR MOST AREAS. SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NW MAY SEE WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO.
WILL LIKELY NEED AN EXTREME COLD WARNING AND CONTINUE COLD WX ADV AS
A RESULT FOR ALL LOCATIONS.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY FOR THU...WITH WINDS DECREASING.
TEMPS WILL BE A TAD WARMER AS WELL...WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS
TO LOW 30S. LOWS THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING WILL BE IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND TEENS...BUT WIND CHILLS WILL BE LESS COLD DUE TO LIGHTER
WINDS.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 313 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
THE ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WL STILL BE CENTERED JUST TO THE
NORTH OF AR ON FRI. THE HIGH CENTER IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE TO
THE EAST OVER THE WEEKEND, ALLOWING FOR A SLOW MODERATING TREND TO
COMMENCE. AS IS THE CASE WITH MOST ARCTIC AIRMASSES, MANY MODELS
TEND TO BE TOO FAST ERODING A DENSE COLD AIRMASS SUCH AS THIS.
A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM RMNS PROGGED TO DROP TO THE SOUTHEAST
FROM CENTRAL TX SAT NIGHT AND SUN. MODEL SOLUTIONS CONT TRENDING
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH WITH THIS FEATURE. THUS, WL KEEP THE FCST DRY
FOR OUR FA.
THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN WL DE-AMPLIFY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WEST/SOUTHWEST
SFC FLOW WL RETURN TO AR, WITH HIGH TEMPS MON AND TUE CLIMBING TO
SPRINGLIKE LEVELS. READINGS WL TOP OUT WELL INTO THE 60S, WITH THE
MERCURY TOPPING THE 70 DEGREE MARK OVER SOUTH AR TUE AFTN.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1126 AM CST WED FEB 19 2025
AREAS OF MVFR CIGS WILL PERSIST AT SOME TERMINALS THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH KLLQ LIKELY TO KEEP MVFR CIGS THE ENTIRE TIME. WINDS
WILL BE OUT OF THE N/NE THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE 8-15 KT RANGE
WITH OCCASIONALLY HIGHER GUSTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 24 4 23 8 / 10 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 32 9 32 15 / 10 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 16 -4 18 5 / 10 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 29 7 28 14 / 10 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 26 7 26 13 / 10 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 28 11 28 17 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 29 7 30 14 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 18 -3 21 5 / 10 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 24 4 22 10 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 27 8 26 14 / 10 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 27 5 28 13 / 10 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 24 5 24 10 / 10 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 26 8 24 15 / 10 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR ARZ004>008-
014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-103-112-113-121>123-
130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-
340-341.
EXTREME COLD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST THURSDAY
FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-103-
112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-
238-240-241-313-340-341.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR ARZ052-053-
062>069.
SHORT TERM...62
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...67
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