406
FXUS64 KLZK 201144
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
544 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 217 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
THE PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE WELL BELOW NORMAL
CONDITIONS DURING THE SHORT TERM PERIOD...
TEMPS EARLY THIS MORNING HAVE DROPPED DOWN INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO
AROUND ZERO AS OF THE 2AM HR ACROSS NWRN SECTIONS...WITH TEENS
ELSEWHERE. WINDS CONTINUE...RESULTING IN WIND CHILLS RANGING FROM
THE TEENS BELOW ZERO ACROSS NWRN SECTIONS...AND BETWEEN -10 TO +10
ELSEWHERE. EXPECT TEMPS TO DROP A FEW MORE DEG BEFORE SUNRISE...WITH
LOWS BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE NW...AND SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS
ELSEWHERE. WILL KEEP THE COLD WX HEADLINES GOING THIS MORNING...WITH
NO CHANGES EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY LESSEN BY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION. HIGHS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW
NORMAL TODAY...IN THE TEENS AND 20S FOR MOST AREAS. LOWS TONIGHT
WILL DROP BACK INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS...WITH A FEW AREAS
NEAR ZERO ONCE AGAIN. SLIGHTLY WARMER CONDITIONS WILL BE SEEN FOR
FRI...BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT FROM THE E/NE. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE 20S AND 30S. LOWS FRI NIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND
20S. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 217 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
THE CENTER OF THE ARCTIC HIGH WL BE CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC
REGION AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPS ON SAT WL BE MAINLY
IN THE 40S. WHILE THESE READINGS WL BE WARMER THAN FRI, THEY WL
STILL BE ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR LATE FEB.
THE MODERATING TREND WL CONT HEADING INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW
WORK WEEK, AS THE UPPER FLOW PATTERN TURNS MORE ZONAL. THIS WL ALLOW
MILDER AIR TO ADVECT INTO THE FA, THANKS IN PART TO A WEST/SOUTHWEST
SFC WIND FLOW. HIGHS ON SUN WL BE MAINLY IN THE 50S, WITH 60S COMMON
BY MON. THIS TREND WL CONT ON TUE WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO THE
MID 70S.
A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM RMNS PROGGED TO MOVE EASTWARD ACRS TX AND
PASS SOUTH OF AR SAT NIGHT AND SUN. OPTED TO KEEP THE LOW POPS (20%)
IN THE FCST FOR SOME LIGHT RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN IN THE FAR SOUTH.
ANOTHER WEAK SYSTEM COULD BRING SOME LOW RAIN CHCS TO THE FA BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. OTHERWISE, DRY CONDS WL PREVAIL THRU MOST OF THE
PD.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
VFR CONDS WL PREVAIL ACRS THE FA WITH JUST SOME HIGH CLOUDS
STREAMIMG ACRS REGION. BREEZY NORTH WINDS WL PERSIST AS WELL, BUT
WL DIMINISH HEADING INTO THE EVENING HRS.
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
EXTREME COLD WARNING UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-
024-025-031>034-039-042>047-054>057-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-
138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR ARZ052-053-
062>069.
SHORT TERM...62
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...44
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