523
FXUS64 KLZK 202050
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
250 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 210 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS SCATTERED LOW STRATUS SITUATED
OVER PORTIONS OF WRN AR WITHIN THE OUACHITAS. ACROSS THE NRN HALF
OF AR, SNOW AND SLEET PACK WAS STILL EVIDENT FROM THE RECENT
WINTER STORM. OVER SRN AR, NOT MUCH WAS ONGOING VIA SATELLITE
IMAGERY. SUNNY CONDITIONS WERE IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF AR.
TODAY, TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 20S N, MID AND UPPER
20S CNTRL, TO AROUND 30 OVER SRN AR. HIGH PRESSURE WILL PARK ITSELF
OVER THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN
PLACE, ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT IS ON TAP ACROSS THE STATE. LOWS
SHOULD RANGE FROM NEAR 0 TO 0S N, TO MID 10S ELSEWHERE. WINDS WILL
REMAIN LIGHT AT MOST LOCATION OVERNIGHT HOWEVER OVER ERN AR, WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ELEVATED ENOUGH TO PROMPT A COLD WEATHER
ADVISORY OVER S-CNTRL AND ERN AR. THERE WIND CHILL VALUES MAY RANGE
FROM NEAR ZERO TO FIVE ABOVE ZERO.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY MODERATE ON FRIDAY. HIGHS SHOULD
TOP OUT IN THE MID AND UPPER 30S OVER THE SW HALF OF AR TO UPPER 20S
TO NEAR 30S OVER NE AR. FRIDAY NIGHT LOWS WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE A
LITTLE WITH READINGS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 10S TO LOWER 20S.
ALOFT, A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION JUST TO OUR N,
WHICH SHOULD INCREASE CLOUDS LOCALLY FRIDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 210 PM CST THU FEB 20 2025
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING THE REGION TO
THE SOUTH/EAST TO BEGIN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. A STORM SYSTEM WILL
PASS WELL TO THE SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING, WITH SMALL
CHANCES OF LIGHT RAIN/LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
COUNTIES. AFTER THAT, VERY COLD AIR WILL BE A MEMORY.
LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK, THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME
QUASIZONAL. THIS WILL RESULT IN MORE MILD PACIFIC AIR AND A QUICK
WARMUP LOCALLY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL LARGELY BE IN THE
50S, WITH 60S EXPECTED MONDAY AND 60S/70S TUESDAY.
TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD, THERE WILL BE PRONOUNCED RIDGING OVER
THE WESTERN STATES. THIS WILL CREATE A NORTHWEST WIND FLOW ALOFT
THAT WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH ARKANSAS ON WEDNESDAY. ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED ALONG/AHEAD OF THE FRONT, WITH
COOLER AND MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES TO FOLLOW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1140 AM CST THU FEB 20 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MAINLY SKC TODAY,
BECOMING HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT INTO FRI. WINDS TODAY WILL BE E/NE
AT AROUND 10 KTS, GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS OVER CNTRL/SRN SITES. WINDS
WILL RELAX AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 9 31 15 43 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 16 41 21 49 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 4 32 15 44 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 15 36 19 48 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 13 35 18 44 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 17 39 22 48 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 15 39 18 50 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 2 31 14 43 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 10 28 16 39 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 15 34 20 45 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 13 36 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 10 32 16 43 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 14 32 20 42 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST FRIDAY
FOR ARZ008-017-025-034-047-056-057-063>069.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....46
AVIATION...70
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