520
FXUS64 KLZK 301743
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1243 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
FORECASTS UTILIZED CAM OUTPUTS TO DERIVE TSRA CHANCES AT FORECAST
SITES. MVFR CEILINGS ARE EXPECTED SHORTLY AFTER FROPA.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 634 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
EXPECT DEGRADED FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS AS LOW AS IFR
DUE TO DECREASED CIGS AND VSBY. RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
BE PRESENT ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGHOUT THE DURATION OF THE
DAY AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
STATE. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. CIGS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST SITES WILL REMAIN IN MVFR
TO IFR FLIGHT CATEGORY FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS
A CLOUD DECK ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE
STATE. EXPECT ALL SITES AT THE SURFACE TO GUST IN EXCESS OF 25
KNOTS BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING. A WIND SHIFT WILL OCCUR THROUGHOUT THE DAY FROM WINDS
THAT ARE PREDOMINATELY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO WINDS THAT ARE
PREDOMINATELY OUT OF THE NORTH- NORTHWEST BEHIND THE COLD FRONT.
LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL BE PRESENT AT THE TERMINAL OF KHRO FOR
THE FIRST FEW HOURS OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 83 48 66 42 / 60 50 0 0
CAMDEN AR 86 55 73 46 / 30 80 10 0
HARRISON AR 78 40 61 41 / 60 10 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 83 51 71 46 / 50 40 10 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 84 53 69 45 / 50 60 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 85 59 71 48 / 30 90 10 0
MOUNT IDA AR 84 49 71 46 / 50 40 10 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 80 43 62 41 / 70 20 0 0
NEWPORT AR 82 51 65 43 / 60 60 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 86 54 69 45 / 40 80 10 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 84 48 70 45 / 60 40 0 0
SEARCY AR 84 49 67 41 / 50 60 0 0
STUTTGART AR 84 54 67 46 / 40 80 10 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....74
AVIATION...55
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