126  
FNUS74 KLZK 010932  
FWSLZK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CW LSF 11 & MAZARN MOUNTAIN...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR  
432 AM CDT TUE APR 1 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE  
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AS A NEW STORM  
SYSTEM ORGANIZES OVER THE PLAINS STATES, ALLOWING WARMER AND MORE  
HUMID AIR TO RETURN. RAIN CHANCES RETURN TONIGHT, BECOMING MORE  
WIDESPREAD IN THE COMING DAYS.  
   
TODAY  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 23  
TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
DISPERSION..........13 INCREASING TO 65.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....67.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 4827 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........4.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3700 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............49 51 56 59 63 66 70 72 73 74  
RH..............74 68 54 48 43 43 42 42 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 18 19 18 18 19 20 20 20  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 20 20 20 20 21 23 24 23  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
   
TONIGHT  
 
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 66.  
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 87 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
LVORI...............3.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION..........38 DECREASING TO 21 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.02 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....MISSING.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2786 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........3.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1700 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
TEMP............73 73 72 72 71 71 70 69 69 69 67 68  
RH..............51 54 58 63 68 72 79 83 83 83 84 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 22 22 22 23 24 24 26 26 26 26  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 20 21 22 22 23 23 24 25 25  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 71 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION..........36 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 47 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....1.06 INCHES.  
1700 FT MIX TEMP....71.  
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3251 FT MSL.  
CATEGORY DAY........4.  
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2100 FT AGL.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC CDY MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
TEMP............68 68 68 68 70 70 69 69 69 70 71 71  
RH..............81 81 84 87 81 79 83 81 81 79 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 14 13 12 12 12 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 28 28 29 29 28 26 25 23 22 18 18  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 26 29 30 31 32 32 30 26 23 22  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 70 70 70 70 70 70 100 100 100 100 100  
 
 
FORECASTER...C RICKARD  
REQUESTED BY...JUSTUS BEGGS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2508538.0/LZK  
.DELDT 04/01/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JUSTUS.BEGGS@USDA.GOV,AMANDA.GEE@USDA.GOV  
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