205
FNUS74 KLZK 020254
FWSLZK
SPOT FORECAST FOR ADVANCE...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
954 PM CDT TUE APR 1 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2200 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
TIMEFRAME: TUESDAY EVENING, TUESDAY NIGHT, EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
[10 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH 10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING]
EXPECT SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FROM 10 MPH TO 20
MPH WITH WIND GUSTS OVER THIS PERIOD BETWEEN 30 MPH AND 40 MPH. A
30% TO 40% OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS IN THE FORECAST BETWEEN
MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM CDT WHICH MAY LEAD TO VARIABLE, GUSTY WINDS
ALONG WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
TIMEFRAME: LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING, WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
WEDNESDAY EVENING
[10 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING]
EXPECT RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES TO RAMP UP AND REMAIN
ELEVATED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE AREA OF THE WILDFIRE IS WITHIN AN
ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER (LEVEL 3 OUT OF 5) WITH THE
GREATEST CONCERN FOR VERY LARGE HAIL (BASEBALL SIZED OR LARGER),
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS (60-80 MPH), AND A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. ADDITIONALLY LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINS WILL BE LIKELY
TOO. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST FROM 10 MPH TO 15
MPH, WITH WIND GUSTS OVER THIS PERIOD FROM 20 MPH TO 35 MPH.
WINDS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE UNPREDICTABLE AND VARIABLE WITHIN
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
REST OF TONIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66 AT FORECAST START...MIN 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 97 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
LVORI...............3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING,
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION..........21.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.06 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 800 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 1510 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........2.
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............66 67 67 67 67 67 64 67
RH..............63 70 75 84 84 87 97 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 12 12 12 12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 22 22 23 23 23 24
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 22 23 25 25
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 50 40 40 40 10 10
WEDNESDAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 64 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........48 INCREASING TO 83 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 66 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.21 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 3100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3833 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........4.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC
TEMP............67 67 67 70 71 74 74 74 76 73 73 74
RH..............84 84 84 78 76 69 69 71 64 68 68 64
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 14 15 15 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25 28 30 30 30 29 28 26 26 24 23 22
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 28 31 35 36 37 36 33 31 28 24
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 30 40 60 60 70 90 90 70 50
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
LVORI...............4.
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION..........27 DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1200 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 1924 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........2.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............72 71 70 68 67 66 65 64 63 62 60 59
RH..............68 68 68 76 73 75 75 73 75 75 81 80
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW S SE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 7 6 6 5 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 14 13 10 8 7 6 6 6 6 6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 17 15 13 12 9 8 7 7 8 9 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50
THURSDAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY.
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........13 INCREASING TO 37.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.67 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.67 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2691 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RN RN RN RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
TEMP............59 57 59 59 60 61 61 62 62 62 62 62
RH..............80 83 80 80 81 78 75 72 72 72 72 72
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 10 11 12 13 13 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 13 14 16 17 18 18 18 18 17 15
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90
FORECASTER...C POPE
REQUESTED BY...USFS AOICC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508665.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ARAOC@FIRENET.GOV
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