571
FNUS74 KLZK 021123
FWSLZK
SPOT FORECAST FOR SYL-ADVANCE WILDFIRE...U.S.FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
623 AM CDT WED APR 2 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON APRIL 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (800) 482-8471 AND ASK FOR THE FIRE
WEATHER FORECASTER IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SEVERE WEATHER TIMING:
WEDNESDAY LATE MORNING AT 11 AM CDT TO WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON 2
PM CDT. ALL HAZARDS ARE POSSIBLE LARGE HAIL (UP TO BASEBALL SIZED
HAIL), DAMAGING WIND GUSTS (60-80+ MPH), AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE
LIKELY (SOME MAY BE LONG TRACK AND VIOLENT). ADDITIONALLY, ANY
THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL
WHICH MAY LEAD TO DANGEROUS OUTDOOR CONDITIONS AND FLASH FLOODING.
TODAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73 AT FORECAST START...MAX 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 66 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 22
TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION..........51 INCREASING TO 68 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 58 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.36 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 3307 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........4.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY MC CDY CDY CDY MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF LKY CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............73 72 72 71 74 75 76 74 74 73 73 73
RH..............71 73 76 79 71 71 66 71 69 71 68 66
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 26 26 25 25 24 22 22 21 20 18
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 26 29 31 32 33 35 33 31 29 25 22
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 40 50 60 60 60 90 70 50 50
TONIGHT
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7
TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
STABILITY CLASS.....6.
LVORI...............3.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
DISPERSION..........24 DECREASING TO 6 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.08 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 1674 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........2.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............73 72 70 69 67 66 65 63 62 61 60 58
RH..............66 66 71 73 73 73 73 72 75 75 75 80
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S W E SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 16 14 12 10 8 6 6 6 6 6 6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW W W W NW N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 14 13 13 12 9 8 7 6 6 6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 10 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 40
THURSDAY
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 65 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
LVORI...............3 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE DAY. RAIN.
DISPERSION..........10 INCREASING TO 38.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.45 INCHES.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.45 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).BECOMING 2100 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).BECOMING 2838 FT MSL.
CATEGORY DAY........3.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............57 57 56 57 60 61 61 62 62 62 63 62
RH..............80 80 83 83 75 70 70 65 65 67 65 67
20 FT WIND DIR..E NE E NE NE NE NE E E NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 10 10 12 13 13 14 14 14
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E E E E E NE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 10 14 16 16 16 16 18 20 21 18
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 80 80 80 80 80 80 100 100 100 100 100
FORECASTER...C POPE
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508673.0/LZK
.DELDT 04/02/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JACOB.PATRICK@USDA.GOV,CASEY.GALLOWAY@USDA.GOV
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