781
FXUS64 KLZK 160517 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1217 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 207 PM CDT THU MAY 15 2025
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARKANSAS BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY
RAIN, LARGE HAIL, AND GUSTY WINDS. THIS SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING BRINGING THAT CHANCE
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. ALL OF THIS IS EXPECTED TO KICK OFF AN UNSETTLED
PATTERN ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MULTIPLE
ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
AS MENTIONED ABOVE, ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES ARE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERN WITH CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN
ARKANSAS SEEING THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER THREATS.
ADDITIONAL RAIN CHANCES WILL BE POSSIBLE ON AND OFF THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. AS OF RIGHT NOW, TUESDAY APPEARS
TO BE THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES AFTER FRIDAY,
HOWEVER, POP-UP THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND
LASTING INTO MONDAY AS WELL.
IN ADDITION TO SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO INCREASE WELL ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. HOT
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MAKE FEELS-LIKE TEMPERATURES
FEEL SLIGHTLY WARMER.
HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER 80S TO MID 90S
THROUGH THE PERIOD. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE MID 60S TO MID
70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1214 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2025
LARGELY VFR CONDITIONS WILL GIVE WAY TO MVFR OR LOWER CIGS BY
DAYBREAK ACROSS AREA TERMINALS WITH SLOW IMPROVEMENT THROUGHOUT
THE DAY. OCCASIONAL RA/TS DEVELOPMENT WILL BE SEEN THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH SOME EARLY MORNING ACTIVITY EXPECTED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE THROUGH 16/14Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AFTER 16/18Z ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS THROUGH
THE PERIOD WILL BECOME S/SW AT OR ABOVE 10 KTS WITH GUSTS ABOVE 20
KTS AT TIMES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 86 63 88 66 / 60 40 10 60
CAMDEN AR 91 69 91 69 / 20 50 30 50
HARRISON AR 84 57 84 62 / 50 0 10 60
HOT SPRINGS AR 88 66 90 69 / 30 30 20 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 87 67 90 70 / 40 50 10 50
MONTICELLO AR 91 71 91 72 / 10 60 20 40
MOUNT IDA AR 88 64 90 68 / 30 30 20 50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 85 58 85 62 / 70 10 10 60
NEWPORT AR 87 66 88 69 / 60 50 10 60
PINE BLUFF AR 90 69 90 71 / 20 60 10 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 86 62 90 68 / 60 30 10 50
SEARCY AR 87 64 89 69 / 50 50 10 60
STUTTGART AR 89 69 90 72 / 30 60 10 50
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...67
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