430
FXUS64 KLZK 191953
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
253 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 251 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING BEFORE WE SEE A TRANSITION TO A HEAVY
RAINFALL THREAT OVERNIGHT. STORMS THAT POP UP AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE
THIS EVENING WILL POSE A CHANCE FOR LARGE HAIL, TORNADOES, AND
DAMAGING WINDS. EVENTUALLY, A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
TRACK ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS
TRANSITION TO A HAIL, DAMAGING WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING THREAT.
THE GREATEST CONCERNS FOR SEVERE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE FROM
NORTHWESTERN, NORTH-CENTRAL, CENTRAL, AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. WITH
THAT SAID, ARKANSANS ACROSS THE STATE SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER AWARE
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE
MULTIPLE WAYS TO RECEIVE WARNINGS.
CALMER AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY BEFORE
MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND.
IN ADDITION TO SOME UNSETTLED WEATHER...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
BE AVERAGE TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS,
HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CDT MON MAY 19 2025
MVFR CONDITIONS REMAIN IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF THE FA THIS AFTN W/
OVERSPREADING HIGHER CIRRUS FM OK CONVECTION. CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE INTO THIS EVNG AS THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO
THE STATE FM THE WEST, W/ IFR CIGS AND VARIABLE STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY FOR CNTRL TO NRN
TERMINALS. MAIN TIMING OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED AS EARLY THIS AFTN
NEAR 21Z FOR NRN TERMINALS, W/ CNTRL TERMINALS MORE LKLY TO SEE
STORMS NEAR OR AFTER 00-03Z. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST EXCEPT IN AND NEAR CONVECTION.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 68 85 59 85 / 90 40 0 0
CAMDEN AR 71 88 58 89 / 50 20 0 0
HARRISON AR 63 78 55 79 / 100 20 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 66 87 57 88 / 80 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 70 87 60 87 / 70 20 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 74 89 61 88 / 30 30 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 66 86 56 87 / 80 10 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 64 81 55 80 / 100 30 0 0
NEWPORT AR 69 86 59 84 / 80 40 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 72 89 60 88 / 50 20 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 66 83 56 87 / 90 10 0 0
SEARCY AR 68 86 58 85 / 80 30 0 0
STUTTGART AR 73 87 61 85 / 60 30 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ARZ004>008-014>017-024-
031-039-103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-
221>223-230-237-238-240-241-313-340-341.
DISCUSSION...73
AVIATION...72
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