765
FXUS64 KLZK 132252
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
552 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
BAND 1 AND 2 GOES SATELLITE IMAGERY CONTINUES TO CLEARLY REVEAL THE
CIRCULATION OF UPPER LOW, NOW CENTERED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.
CONVECTION, GENERALLY WEAK, CONTINUES TO BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
CIRCULATION. THE CHARACTER OF THE ATMOSPHERE ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA IS REFLECTED BY PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN THE 90TH
PERCENTILE OF CLIMATOLOGICAL VALUES. ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS WILL
BE EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS.
THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY EASTWARD DURING THE REST OF THIS
PERIOD. A NORTHWEST FLOW WILL DEVELOP, AND SMALL SCALE DISTURBANCES
WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS FLOW, PROMOTING ADDITIONAL, MAINLY WEAK
CONVECTION.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD, UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF
COAST. OVERALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL DECREASE ACCORDINGLY.
ABOVE NORMAL AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE
PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 552 PM CDT FRI JUN 13 2025
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL SEE THE BEST COVERAGE OF
EVENING TSRA PER LATEST CAM GUIDANCE. OVERALL CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE LESS THAN THAT OF TODAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 68 88 70 88 / 80 30 10 30
CAMDEN AR 70 90 72 90 / 40 50 30 60
HARRISON AR 65 85 67 83 / 50 20 10 40
HOT SPRINGS AR 69 90 72 90 / 50 50 20 40
LITTLE ROCK AR 70 88 73 88 / 70 60 10 30
MONTICELLO AR 72 90 73 89 / 50 60 40 70
MOUNT IDA AR 69 89 71 89 / 50 50 20 40
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 65 85 68 85 / 80 20 10 30
NEWPORT AR 70 88 72 89 / 70 40 10 20
PINE BLUFF AR 71 89 73 89 / 60 70 30 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 68 88 72 88 / 60 40 10 30
SEARCY AR 68 88 71 87 / 60 40 10 20
STUTTGART AR 72 88 74 89 / 70 60 20 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
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