591
FXUS64 KLZK 171942
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
242 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
LATEST OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS
MAINLY CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WERE NOTED ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40
CORRIDOR, WITH 3000 J/KG MLCAPE NOTED. FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS RATHER DIFFUSE; EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PEAK DIURNAL INSOLATION CYCLE.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
FEATURE WILL PROVIDE A MORE FOCUSED CONVECTIVE EVENT, TO AFFECT
THE FORECAST AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, FROM THE AFTERNOON
HOURS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER NORTH AMERICA WILL AMPLIFY DURING THIS
PERIOD. BY THE END OF THIS PERIOD, AN AXIS OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL STRETCH FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS TO NEW ENGLAND. DRY
CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1231 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
AREAS OF 3-5SM FOG ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 09014Z. MOST WIDESPREAD 0TSRA
COVERAGE WILL BE FROM 12-15Z ACROSS NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE
STATE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 74 91 71 90 / 20 50 80 20
CAMDEN AR 74 93 72 90 / 20 10 50 40
HARRISON AR 72 87 67 86 / 20 60 50 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 92 71 90 / 20 20 60 30
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 92 72 90 / 20 20 70 30
MONTICELLO AR 75 93 74 90 / 20 10 50 60
MOUNT IDA AR 74 90 71 90 / 20 20 60 30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 73 88 68 87 / 20 70 60 10
NEWPORT AR 75 92 72 89 / 20 30 70 20
PINE BLUFF AR 75 93 73 89 / 20 10 60 40
RUSSELLVILLE AR 74 90 70 90 / 20 40 60 20
SEARCY AR 74 92 71 90 / 20 30 70 20
STUTTGART AR 75 91 73 89 / 20 10 70 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99
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