567
FXUS64 KLZK 180544
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1244 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
LATEST OBSERVATIONS INDICATE SCATTERED CONVECTION ACROSS
MAINLY CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WERE NOTED ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40
CORRIDOR, WITH 3000 J/KG MLCAPE NOTED. FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE
DEVELOPMENT IS RATHER DIFFUSE; EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PEAK DIURNAL INSOLATION CYCLE.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
FEATURE WILL PROVIDE A MORE FOCUSED CONVECTIVE EVENT, TO AFFECT
THE FORECAST AREA FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST, FROM THE AFTERNOON
HOURS THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2025
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER NORTH AMERICA WILL AMPLIFY DURING THIS
PERIOD. BY THE END OF THIS PERIOD, AN AXIS OF UPPER LEVEL HIGH
PRESSURE WILL STRETCH FROM THE CENTRAL TEXAS TO NEW ENGLAND. DRY
CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL DURING THIS
FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1242 AM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH SHRA/TSRA ARRIVING ACROSS
NRN TERMINALS BETWEEN 08/10Z WED, SPREADING SE TO INCLUDE CNTRL
SITES NEAR 11/12Z WED. VFR CONDS ARE ANTICIPATED OUTSIDE OF TSRA
ACTIVITY WHERE VIS'BYS MAY BE REDUCED TO MVFR/IFR BRIEFLY.
AFTERNOON SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MOST TAF SITES.
WINDS WILL BE S/SW AT AROUND 10 KTS OR LESS BOTH OVERNIGHT AND ON
WED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 90 71 90 72 / 50 70 10 0
CAMDEN AR 93 73 90 73 / 10 40 40 10
HARRISON AR 84 68 87 68 / 70 40 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 92 71 91 72 / 20 60 30 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 92 73 91 74 / 30 70 30 0
MONTICELLO AR 93 75 90 74 / 10 50 60 10
MOUNT IDA AR 91 70 91 72 / 20 60 30 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 85 68 88 68 / 80 50 10 0
NEWPORT AR 92 72 91 73 / 50 70 20 0
PINE BLUFF AR 93 73 90 73 / 10 60 50 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 90 71 91 72 / 30 60 20 0
SEARCY AR 91 71 90 72 / 30 70 20 0
STUTTGART AR 92 73 90 74 / 20 70 40 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...70
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