329
FXUS64 KLZK 181955
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
255 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 242 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
-CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.
-HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMID AIR WILL LEAD TO INCREASING HEAT
INDICES AND HEAT DANGER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE STATE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, BUT
AFTERNOON CAMS ARE STRUGGLING TO GET A GRASP ON WHERE THE MOST
WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR. BY LATER TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS, THERE IS MORE AGREEMENT THAT ONE OR TWO BROKEN
LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY MERGE AND MOVE SOUTH. THERE COULD BE AN
INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, BUT THE MAIN CONCERN
MAY ACTUALLY BE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING GIVEN EXPECTED HIGH
RAINFALL RATES.
BEHIND THIS EXPECTED LINE OF STORMS A COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING A CHANGE IN WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH A LARGELY RAIN-FREE FORECAST FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS.
BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND, H500 RIDGING WILL EXPAND OVER THE
REGION AND WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE. THIS WILL
PROVIDE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND HUMID AIR WHICH WILL COMBINE
TO PROVIDE HEAT INDICES AT OR ABOVE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT
TIMES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN CIGS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WHICH MAY AVOID MOST AREA TERMINALS. STORMS MAY
ORGANIZE INTO A LINEAR FASHION AFTER 19/06Z AND MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA. THIS COULD PROVIDE INCREASED COVERAGE OF RA/TS ACTIVITY
AT AREA TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 71 90 70 93 / 70 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 73 91 73 94 / 40 40 10 20
HARRISON AR 68 88 68 91 / 50 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 71 91 72 94 / 50 30 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 72 91 75 94 / 60 30 0 10
MONTICELLO AR 75 91 75 94 / 50 50 10 20
MOUNT IDA AR 71 90 72 94 / 50 20 0 10
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 68 88 67 92 / 60 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 72 91 72 94 / 70 10 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 73 91 73 95 / 50 50 10 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 71 91 72 94 / 60 10 0 10
SEARCY AR 71 91 71 94 / 70 10 0 10
STUTTGART AR 73 90 75 93 / 70 30 0 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...67
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...67
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