266
FXUS64 KLZK 182027
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
327 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
..NEW KEY MESSAGES
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 326 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
-CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING.
-HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMID AIR WILL LEAD TO INCREASING HEAT
INDICES AND HEAT DANGER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 242 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE STATE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, BUT
AFTERNOON CAMS ARE STRUGGLING TO GET A GRASP ON WHERE THE MOST
WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR. BY LATER TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS, THERE IS MORE AGREEMENT THAT ONE OR TWO BROKEN
LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY MERGE AND MOVE SOUTH. THERE COULD BE AN
INCREASED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, BUT THE MAIN CONCERN
MAY ACTUALLY BE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING GIVEN EXPECTED HIGH
RAINFALL RATES.
BEHIND THIS EXPECTED LINE OF STORMS A COLD FRONT SHOULD PUSH SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL BRING A CHANGE IN WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH A LARGELY RAIN-FREE FORECAST FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS.
BY FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND, H500 RIDGING WILL EXPAND OVER THE
REGION AND WILL BECOME THE DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE. THIS WILL
PROVIDE ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND HUMID AIR WHICH WILL COMBINE
TO PROVIDE HEAT INDICES AT OR ABOVE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA AT
TIMES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1219 PM CDT WED JUN 18 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SOME
OCCASIONAL REDUCTION IN CIGS POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WHICH MAY AVOID MOST AREA TERMINALS. STORMS MAY
ORGANIZE INTO A LINEAR FASHION AFTER 19/06Z AND MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE AREA. THIS COULD PROVIDE INCREASED COVERAGE OF RA/TS ACTIVITY
AT AREA TERMINALS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 90 71 90 72 / 50 70 10 0
CAMDEN AR 93 73 90 73 / 10 40 40 10
HARRISON AR 84 68 87 68 / 70 40 10 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 92 71 91 72 / 20 60 30 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 92 73 91 74 / 30 70 30 0
MONTICELLO AR 93 75 90 74 / 10 50 60 10
MOUNT IDA AR 91 70 91 72 / 20 60 30 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 85 68 88 68 / 80 50 10 0
NEWPORT AR 92 72 91 73 / 50 70 20 0
PINE BLUFF AR 93 73 90 73 / 10 60 50 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 90 71 91 72 / 30 60 20 0
SEARCY AR 91 71 90 72 / 30 70 20 0
STUTTGART AR 92 73 90 74 / 20 70 40 10
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....67
AVIATION...67
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