629
FXUS64 KLZK 192349 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
649 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 223 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2025
-HOT TEMPERATURES AND HUMID AIR WILL LEAD TO INCREASING HEAT
INDICES AND HEAT DANGER THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
-LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 223 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2025
LINGERING CORRIDOR OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO
OCCASIONALLY INTENSIFY AND WEAKEN FROM WEST-CENTRAL TO SOUTHEAST
PORTIONS OF THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS
FOCUSED TIGHTLY TO A SLOW MOVING FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING SOUTH
ACROSS THE STATE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING PULSE CONVECTION THAT COULD OCCASIONALLY PRODUCE
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL, STRONG WIND GUSTS AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
AT THE MID-LEVELS, THE ACCOMPANYING TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
PROGRESS TOWARD THE EAST COAST ON FRIDAY. IN ITS WAKE, A
STRENGTHENING H500 RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN US.
THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE OVER THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY THIS WEEKEND WITH A GRADUAL SHIFT EAST TOWARD THE
MID-ATLANTIC DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
AT THE SFC, RIDGING WILL REMAIN STEADFAST OFF THE SE US COAST BUT
COULD OCCASIONALLY DRIFT ONSHORE AT TIMES. THIS WILL PROVIDE A
NEARLY STEADY SW FLOW ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THIS COMBINATION OF INCREASED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INCREASING
TEMPERATURES BENEATH THE RIDGE WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A PERIOD OF
UNCOMFORTABLE WEATHER. PARTS OF THE STATE WILL SEE HEAT INDICES AT
OR ABOVE 105 EACH DAY. AND WHILE THERE WILL BE LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL DURING THIS PERIOD, WITH THE CENTER OF THE
H500 RIDGE EXPECTED TO BE TO THE EAST OF THE STATE THERE WILL AT
LEAST BE CHANCES FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS/STORMS ACROSS THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE HIGH.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 648 PM CDT THU JUN 19 2025
PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS AREA TERMINALS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. SFC WINDS OUT OF THE S/SW AT LESS THAN 10 KTS
EXPECTED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 70 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 73 95 75 96 / 10 10 0 0
HARRISON AR 66 92 74 92 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 73 94 74 95 / 10 10 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 74 95 76 96 / 10 10 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 74 95 76 96 / 10 20 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 72 93 74 94 / 10 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 67 92 73 93 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 72 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 74 94 76 96 / 10 10 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 71 94 75 95 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 71 94 74 96 / 0 10 0 0
STUTTGART AR 74 93 76 95 / 10 10 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ016-024-025-
031>034-039-042>047-053>057-062>069-123.
DISCUSSION...67
AVIATION...67
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