618
FXUS64 KLZK 051926
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
226 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
LATEST SATELLITE DATA INDICATE NUMEROUS CONVECTIVE ROLLS, ORIENTED
MERIDONAL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. FORCING DUE TO THIS PHENOMENA
HAS PRODUCED A FEW SHOWERS, MAINLY IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL SECTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA. ADDITIONAL, WIDELY SCATTERED (15-24%
COVERAGE) DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
EVENING.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE STATE FROM THE NORTH ON SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO PROMOTE A GREATER (>35%)
COVERAGE OF CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
A NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL PREVAIL OVER THE MID SOUTH DURING
THIS PERIOD. NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL. MOST DAYS WILL
EXPERIENCE A SCATTERED (30-50%) COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING
CONVECTION.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1144 AM CDT SAT JUL 5 2025
EXPECT VFR FLIGHT CATEGORY ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE DURATION OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. A LOW CHANCE AT A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST
FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN TERMINALS; VCTS HAS BEEN ADDED WITHIN THESE
TAFS TO CAPTURE THIS OUTSIDE POSSIBILITY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 74 92 72 91 / 10 40 30 60
CAMDEN AR 74 96 73 94 / 10 20 10 40
HARRISON AR 72 87 69 88 / 10 50 30 60
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 96 73 94 / 0 30 10 50
LITTLE ROCK AR 77 94 75 93 / 10 30 20 50
MONTICELLO AR 75 96 75 94 / 0 20 10 40
MOUNT IDA AR 73 93 72 93 / 0 30 10 50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 72 87 70 89 / 10 50 40 60
NEWPORT AR 75 93 74 93 / 10 30 30 50
PINE BLUFF AR 75 95 74 93 / 10 20 10 40
RUSSELLVILLE AR 74 93 73 93 / 10 30 20 50
SEARCY AR 74 93 73 93 / 10 30 20 50
STUTTGART AR 77 94 76 93 / 0 20 20 40
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...73
LONG TERM....73
AVIATION...73
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