333
FXUS64 KLZK 062306
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
606 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2025
LATEST DATA FROM LOCAL RADARS INDICATE WIDELY SCATTERED (~20
PERCENT COVERAGE) ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA,
MOVING EASTWARD. THIS ACTIVITY HAS FORMED IN AN AREA OF VERY
WEAKLY SHEARED, WEAKLY FORCED, MODERATELY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.
THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE WITH THE LOSS OF SOLAR
HEATING.
SLIGHTLY MORE WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH HIGHEST CONCENTRATION OF
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 100 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2025
A WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW PATTERN WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID
SOUTH DURING AT THE START OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD, THEN WILL
FLATTEN AS UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS INCREASE. DURING THE SECOND HALF OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD, A OVERALL DECREASE IN DIURNALLY ENHANCED
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED, ALONG WITH A SLIGHT WARMING TREND. WOULD
EXPECT HEAT HEADLINES DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 542 PM CDT SUN JUL 6 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF TSRA. TSRA CONVERAGE (20-30%)
WILL BE IN PLACE BETWEEN 19-24Z (7TH).
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 72 92 72 91 / 30 60 20 70
CAMDEN AR 74 96 73 93 / 10 40 10 60
HARRISON AR 70 88 69 86 / 40 50 20 70
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 95 73 93 / 10 50 20 60
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 94 75 93 / 10 40 20 60
MONTICELLO AR 75 95 74 93 / 10 40 10 60
MOUNT IDA AR 72 94 72 90 / 10 40 20 70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 70 88 70 88 / 40 60 20 70
NEWPORT AR 74 94 74 93 / 30 40 20 60
PINE BLUFF AR 75 94 74 93 / 10 30 10 60
RUSSELLVILLE AR 73 93 73 90 / 20 50 20 60
SEARCY AR 72 93 73 93 / 20 50 20 60
STUTTGART AR 76 94 75 93 / 20 30 20 50
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
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