697
FXUS64 KLZK 112315
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
615 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
DATA FROM LOCAL RADARS INDICATE WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION AGAIN
DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA. GREATEST COVERAGE IS OVER
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, IN AN AREA OF THE GREATEST
INSTABILITY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY. CONVECTION FORCED BY THIS BOUNDARY
MAY BE ABLE TO REACH NORTHERN SECTIONS LATE TONIGHT AND ON
SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL, DIURNALLY ENHANCED DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
AREA WIDE ON BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, AS THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
BECOMES MORE CONDUCIVE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
MID AND UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE OVER THE MID SOUTH
DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. OVERALL DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE PERIOD. A WARMING
TREND CAN BE EXPECTED; HEAT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 613 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
FORECASTS WILL REFLECT EXPECTED BEST CHANCES FOR TSRA COVERAGE,
WHICH WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA AFTER
18Z. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OTHERWISE DURING THE VALID TAF
PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 75 93 72 90 / 10 50 20 70
CAMDEN AR 74 95 73 94 / 10 40 10 40
HARRISON AR 73 87 69 85 / 20 70 30 70
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 95 74 93 / 0 50 20 60
LITTLE ROCK AR 75 94 75 92 / 0 40 20 60
MONTICELLO AR 75 94 76 93 / 10 40 10 40
MOUNT IDA AR 74 93 72 91 / 0 40 30 70
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 73 88 69 85 / 10 70 20 70
NEWPORT AR 74 95 74 93 / 10 40 20 60
PINE BLUFF AR 74 94 74 93 / 10 40 10 50
RUSSELLVILLE AR 75 93 73 90 / 0 50 30 70
SEARCY AR 73 94 72 91 / 0 40 20 60
STUTTGART AR 75 95 75 93 / 10 30 20 50
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...55
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