225
FXUS64 KLZK 120513
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1213 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2025
..NEW AVIATION
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
DATA FROM LOCAL RADARS INDICATE WIDELY SCATTERED CONVECTION AGAIN
DEVELOPING OVER THE FORECAST AREA. GREATEST COVERAGE IS OVER
EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA, IN AN AREA OF THE GREATEST
INSTABILITY. THIS ACTIVITY WILL END SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET.
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHWEST SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY. CONVECTION FORCED BY THIS BOUNDARY
MAY BE ABLE TO REACH NORTHERN SECTIONS LATE TONIGHT AND ON
SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL, DIURNALLY ENHANCED DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED
AREA WIDE ON BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, AS THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN
BECOMES MORE CONDUCIVE TO SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 137 PM CDT FRI JUL 11 2025
MID AND UPPER LEVEL HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE OVER THE MID SOUTH
DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD. OVERALL DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTIVE
COVERAGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE PERIOD. A WARMING
TREND CAN BE EXPECTED; HEAT HEADLINES WILL LIKELY BE NECESSARY
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1211 AM CDT SAT JUL 12 2025
GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SFC
WINDS OUT OF THE S-SW AT UP TO 10 KTS WITH SOME TERMINALS SEEING
OCCASIONAL GUSTS ABOVE 15 KTS. DECAYING LINE OF SHOWERS/STORMS
ACROSS SW MO WILL DRIFT SOUTH INTO NORTHERN AR THROUGH 12Z AND
COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL SHOWERS/STORMS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE,
ADDITIONAL PRECIP IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING ACROSS THE
STATE. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME OCCASIONAL IMPACTS TO AREA
TERMINALS, WITH THE BEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
HALF OF AR.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 93 72 90 72 / 50 20 70 20
CAMDEN AR 95 73 94 73 / 40 10 40 10
HARRISON AR 87 69 85 69 / 70 30 70 30
HOT SPRINGS AR 95 74 93 74 / 50 20 60 20
LITTLE ROCK AR 94 75 92 76 / 40 20 60 20
MONTICELLO AR 94 76 93 76 / 40 10 40 10
MOUNT IDA AR 93 72 91 73 / 40 30 70 20
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 88 69 85 69 / 70 20 70 20
NEWPORT AR 95 74 93 74 / 40 20 60 20
PINE BLUFF AR 94 74 93 75 / 40 10 50 10
RUSSELLVILLE AR 93 73 90 73 / 50 30 70 30
SEARCY AR 94 72 91 73 / 40 20 60 20
STUTTGART AR 95 75 93 76 / 30 20 50 20
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...55
LONG TERM....55
AVIATION...67
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page