938
FXUS64 KLZK 060557
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1257 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
ALL WAS QUIET ACROSS AR EARLY THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING. SKIES WERE
MOSTLY CLEAR, WINDS WERE CALM OR NEARLY CALM, AND TEMPERATURES
WERE IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SUNRISE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
IN THE 60S AND 70S. THESE 70S ARE EVIDENCE OF A SLOW WARMING
TREND NOW THAT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NO LONGER FALLING INTO THE 60S
STATEWIDE.
NOT MUCH NEW INFORMATION TO ADD FROM YESTERDAYS FORECAST DISCUSSION.
ALOFT, AN UPPER RIDGE SITUATED OVER PORTIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION WILL MEANDER EWRD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. HERE LOCALLY, NW FLOW
WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. BEGINNING SUNDAY, AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN CONUS WITH THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH SLOWLY PIVOTING ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. THE MAIN CHANGE IN
THIS FORECAST COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO IS NOW THE LACK OF LARGE
SCALE LIFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN AR. THUS POP CHANCES HAVE
DECREASED ACCORDINGLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND/MONDAY. IF RAIN DOES
OCCUR THIS WEEK/WEEKEND, IT WILL MOST LIKELY BE THE RESULT OF
DIURNAL HEATING AND REMAIN WIDELY SCATTERED IN NATURE. OVERALL,
MOST LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE NET LOSS OF SOIL MOISTURE THROUGH
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION.
A LEEWARD ROCKIES SURFACE LOW IS ANTICIPATED TO SPUR OVER THE
PLAINS TODAY, THIS WILL SWITCH WINDS AROUND TO A S/SERLY DIRECTION
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, BECOMING S/SWRLY, IN RESPONSE TO A CNTRL PLAINS DEEPENING
LOW. INCREASING SRLY FLOW WILL RAMP UP DEW POINTS AS WELL AS
ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. TODAY, HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO UPPER
90S. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF AR STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. IF RAIN CHANCES DO NOT INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, THEN HEAT HEADLINES COULD RETURN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1213 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
VFR CONDS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD,
HOWEVER SOME AM LOW STRATUS/PATCHY FG WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
W-CNTRL AR NEAR KADF AND KHOT. OTHERWISE, ONLY FEW TO SCT
AFTERNOON CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS SHOULD BE S/SE AT AROUND 10
KTS OR LESS ON WED AFTER BEING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 92 69 93 70 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 95 71 97 71 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 91 69 93 71 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 96 72 97 72 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 93 72 95 73 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 94 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 94 71 96 72 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 91 69 92 70 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 91 71 93 72 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 94 70 95 72 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 95 72 96 73 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 93 69 94 71 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 92 72 93 73 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...70
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