938
FXUS64 KLZK 070526 AAA
AFDLZK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1226 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
..NEW AVIATION
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT WED AUG 6 2025
ALL WAS QUIET ACROSS AR EARLY THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING. SKIES WERE
MOSTLY CLEAR, WINDS WERE CALM OR NEARLY CALM, AND TEMPERATURES
WERE IN THE LOWER 70S TO LOWER 80S. SUNRISE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE
IN THE 60S AND 70S. THESE 70S ARE EVIDENCE OF A SLOW WARMING
TREND NOW THAT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE NO LONGER FALLING INTO THE 60S
STATEWIDE.
NOT MUCH NEW INFORMATION TO ADD FROM YESTERDAYS FORECAST DISCUSSION.
ALOFT, AN UPPER RIDGE SITUATED OVER PORTIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION WILL MEANDER EWRD INTO THE SRN PLAINS. HERE LOCALLY, NW FLOW
WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. BEGINNING SUNDAY, AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE NRN CONUS WITH THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH SLOWLY PIVOTING ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. THE MAIN CHANGE IN
THIS FORECAST COMPARED TO 24 HOURS AGO IS NOW THE LACK OF LARGE
SCALE LIFT ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN AR. THUS POP CHANCES HAVE
DECREASED ACCORDINGLY THROUGH THE WEEKEND/MONDAY. IF RAIN DOES
OCCUR THIS WEEK/WEEKEND, IT WILL MOST LIKELY BE THE RESULT OF
DIURNAL HEATING AND REMAIN WIDELY SCATTERED IN NATURE. OVERALL,
MOST LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE NET LOSS OF SOIL MOISTURE THROUGH
EVAPOTRANSPIRATION.
A LEEWARD ROCKIES SURFACE LOW IS ANTICIPATED TO SPUR OVER THE
PLAINS TODAY, THIS WILL SWITCH WINDS AROUND TO A S/SERLY DIRECTION
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD INCREASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, BECOMING S/SWRLY, IN RESPONSE TO A CNTRL PLAINS DEEPENING
LOW. INCREASING SRLY FLOW WILL RAMP UP DEW POINTS AS WELL AS
ATMOSPHERIC PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO MODERATE THROUGH THE WEEK INTO THE
WEEKEND. TODAY, HIGHS WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, HIGHS SHOULD TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO UPPER
90S. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL APPROACH OR EXCEED 100 DEGREES ACROSS A
LARGE PORTION OF AR STARTING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. IF RAIN CHANCES DO NOT INCREASE AGAIN ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, THEN HEAT HEADLINES COULD RETURN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1225 AM CDT THU AUG 7 2025
EXPECT DOMINANT VFR CONDITIONS FOR MOST SITES THROUGH THIS TAF
PERIOD. THERE MAY BE SOME OFF AN ON MVFR AT ADF...BUT SHOULD
REMAIN AWAY FROM OTHER SITES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
BATESVILLE AR 72 95 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
CAMDEN AR 72 98 72 95 / 0 0 0 10
HARRISON AR 72 95 73 94 / 0 0 0 0
HOT SPRINGS AR 74 99 74 97 / 0 0 0 10
LITTLE ROCK AR 74 97 74 96 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 73 97 74 96 / 0 0 0 10
MOUNT IDA AR 73 98 74 97 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 71 94 72 94 / 0 0 0 0
NEWPORT AR 72 95 72 95 / 0 0 0 0
PINE BLUFF AR 72 97 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 74 99 75 98 / 0 0 0 0
SEARCY AR 71 97 72 96 / 0 0 0 0
STUTTGART AR 73 96 73 95 / 0 0 0 0
LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ARZ121-130-221-230.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ARZ121-130-221-
230.
SHORT TERM...70
LONG TERM....70
AVIATION...62
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